Analysis

American FX Outlook: US budget set to swing to surplus in January

What you need to know before markets open:

  • The most important driver of the week ahead in the US will be Wednesday’s inflation and retail sales reports.
  • The third week of February though starts on a light mode with only US budget balance out.

Monday’s market moving events

  • British Prime Minister Theresa May to set out “Road to Brexit” in speech with no particular day scheduled. 
  • The US monthly budget statement is set to report a surplus of $108.8 billion in January.
  • The RBA Governor assistant Luci Ellis is scheduled to speak about the economic outlook at the Australian Business Economists Forecasting Conference, in Sydney at 21:50 GMT.

Major market movers

  • The US Dollar eased slightly from the last week’s highs as global equity markets stabilized on Monday and the economic calendar remained empty of an important event.

Earlier in Asia/Europe

  • Swiss CPI fell -0.1% m/m in January while decelerating to 0.7% over the year.
  • Global equity markets stabilized on Monday with Japan off and European equity indices up more than 1%.

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