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Analysis

A sudden drop in risk appetite

  • The eruption of US equity market volatility, with global spillover effects, is a delayed reaction to a rather significant increase in bond yields since the second part of August

  • Market-implied inflation expectations didn't move that much so the rise in long term rates reflects an increase in real yields which in turn is related to strong growth numbers

  • Historically the relationship between weekly changes in yields and stock market performance is weak

  • This implies that one should focus on drivers of investor risk appetite and in particular signs of slower growth

 

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