AUD/USD Exchange rate


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EUR/USD holds steady above 1.0750 ahead of Fedspeak

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.0750 ahead of Fedspeak

EUR/USD fluctuates in a relatively tight channel above 1.0750 to start the new week. In the absence of high-tier data releases, investors will scrutinize comments from central bank officials. Later in the week, inflation data from the US could trigger a big reaction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD hovers above 1.2500, focus on UK labor data

GBP/USD hovers above 1.2500, focus on UK labor data

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction and fluctuates slightly above 1.2500 in the European session on Monday. Ahead of Tuesday's labor market data from the UK and April inflation report from the US on Wednesday, investors will keep a close eye speeches from central bankers.

GBP/USD News

Gold price trades on a negative note, eyes on Fedspeak

Gold price trades on a negative note, eyes on Fedspeak

Gold price trades on a negative note on Monday during the Asian session. The hawkish remarks from the Fed and growing speculation that the Fed might delay its easing plans have boosted the Greenback and dragged the USD-denominated gold lower. 

Gold News

Here’s what needs to happen for The Graph price to revisit $0.422

Here’s what needs to happen for The Graph price to revisit $0.422

The Graph price consolidation below a key hurdle shows that it is ready for a volatile move. With GRT retesting the upper limit of its rangebound movement, chances of an upside breakout are high.

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Inflation and tariffs take center stage in discussions

Inflation and tariffs take center stage in discussions

This week market focus will center around inflation data from the US, the world's largest economy, poised to influence global market sentiment. Overall market sentiment appears optimistic as the potential for a US interest rate cut in September has re-entered the conversation.

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AUD/USD, THE “AUSSIE”

The AUD/USD pair, the “Aussie”, tells the trader how many US dollars (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Australian dollar (the base currency). The AUD is a commodity currency whose country's exports are largely comprised of raw materials (precious metals, oil, agriculture, etc.).

The interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have been among the highest of industrialized countries and the relatively high liquidity of the AUD has made it an attractive tool for carry traders looking for a currency with the highest yields.


AUD/USD CORRELATIONS

Australia is a big exporter to China and its economy and currency reflect any change in the situation in that country. The Australian Dollar is known by its greater exposure to Asian economies. Also, the pair AUD/USD often rises and falls along with the price of gold. In the financial world, gold is viewed as a safe haven against inflation and it is one of the most traded commodities.


FORECAST FOR 2024

The Australian Dollar (AUD) started 202 on a high note, though slumped closer to its post-pandemic low against the USD during the latter part of the year. The currency clawed back some of its steep declines during the final two months of 2023, and the outlook seems sunnier in the wake of the prevalent bearish sentiment surrounding the Greenback.


ASSETS THAT INFLUENCE AUD/USD THE MOST

  • Currencies: NZD and JPY. This group also includes EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY
  • Commodities: Gold, Iron Ore and Natural Gas.
  • Bonds: GACGB10 (Australian Government Bonds Generic Yield 10 Year), GNZGB10 (New Zealand Government Bond 10 Year) and T-NOTE 10Y (10 year United States Treasury note).
  • Indices: S&P/ASX 200 (stocks of the Australian Securities Exchange), S&P/TSX Global Gold Index (producers of gold and related products at the Toronto Stock Exchange).

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE AUD/USD

The organizations and people that affect the most the moves of the AUD/USD pair are:

  • Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) that issues statements and decides on the interest rates of the country. Its president is Michele Bullock.
  • Australian Government and its Department of Finance that implement policies that affect the economy of the country.
  • The US Government (and its President Joe Biden): events as administration statements, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the US Dollar and the currencies traded against it, in this case the Australian Dollar.
  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.

In terms of economic data, as for most currencies, the AUD/USD traders have to keep an eye on:

  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in a country. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the AUD, while a low reading is negative.
  • Inflation measured by key indicators as the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and the PPI (Production Price Index), which reflect changes in purchasing trends.
  • Current Trade Balance, a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows a trade surplus, while a negative value shows a trade deficit. If a steady demand in exchange for AUD exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the AUD.