Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 14:
Welcome to the retitled daily outlook here at FXStreet. Straight off the bat, retail sales leave us wondering what is happening to the US economic outlook. Last Friday we get the shocking employment report, then the CPI goes haywire, and now retail sales dump. Not as rosy as economists first thought. Once again also proving the value of Wall Street estimates.
Equity markets will surely like this one. The Fed is looking at employment and the economy and both these numbers confirm that there is a way to go yet. Ignore the CPI and keep the stimulus going will be the Fed line.
The Euro spots it and marches higher to 1.2130 against the dollar and the ten-year yield retraces to 1.64%. Gold remains strong at $1834 gaining 0.5% and Bitcoin holds the $50,000 level.
European markets are all higher with the EuroStoxx and Dax both up 0.6% and the FTSE not far behind at +0.5%.
US futures are pointing higher, the Nasdaq is up 0.8%, S&P 500 +0.4%, and Dow ahead by 0.1%.
Nasdaq has strong support from the previous consolidation zone and trendline at 12,930. A break targets the 12,208 low from early March and the 200-day at 12,463. 13,297 holds the bearish trend, break and it is back to test short-term moving averages at 13,400-13,500 range and then highs at 14,073.
See FAANGTastic technical analysis of FB AAPL AMZN NFLX GOOGL TSLA
Wall Street top news
US retail sales monthly 0.0%, forecast 1%.
Japan extends its covid state of emergency from May 16 to May 31.
Israel Palestinian tensions and conflict continues to escalate.
US CDC says fully vaccinated people do not need to wear masks.
Disney disappoints as subscriber growth slows. Earnings were released after the close on Thursday. Negative read-across for NFLX.
DoorDASH revenue beat estimates. Stock is up strongly in premarket trading.
AirBnB (ABNB) reported better than expected revenue and booking figures.
COIN reported record numbers, revenue jumped and so did the shares after hours.
Kansas City Southern (KSU) takes Canadian Nationals (CNI) offer instead of Canadian Pacific's (CP).
Aurora Cannabis (ACB) missed earnings estimates and shares dropped in the premarket by 7%.
PLUG completes financial restatements, shares up 12% premarket.
Farfetch (FTCH) shares up 6% in the premarket on the back of strong results.
Quantum Scape (QS) signs agreement with Volkwagen on location for JV.
SNOW: Goldman upgrades, stock up 5%.
Ups and Downs
Aurora Cannabis |
ACB |
BMO Capital |
Upgrades |
Market Perform |
BancorpSouth Bank |
BXS |
Raymond James |
Upgrades |
Outperform |
DoorDash |
DASH |
Truist Securities |
Upgrades |
Buy |
Airbnb |
ABNB |
Wells Fargo |
Upgrades |
Overweight |
GrowGeneration |
GRWG |
Ladenburg Thalmann |
Upgrades |
Buy |
Host Hotels & Resorts |
HST |
Evercore ISI Group |
Upgrades |
Outperform |
Granite Point Mortgage |
GPMT |
Credit Suisse |
Upgrades |
Outperform |
Amerant Bancorp |
AMTB |
Raymond James |
Upgrades |
Outperform |
Snowflake |
SNOW |
Goldman Sachs |
Upgrades |
Buy |
AMC Networks |
AMCX |
Goldman Sachs |
Upgrades |
Neutral |
CubeSmart |
CUBE |
BMO Capital |
Upgrades |
Outperform |
Churchill Downs |
CHDN |
Jefferies |
Upgrades |
Buy |
Cadence Bancorp |
CADE |
Raymond James |
Upgrades |
Outperform |
Vertex Energy |
VTNR |
Stifel |
Upgrades |
Buy |
GrowGeneration |
GRWG |
Roth Capital |
Upgrades |
Buy |
BioLife Solutions |
BLFS |
Benchmark |
Downgrades |
Hold |
Extra Space Storage |
EXR |
BMO Capital |
Downgrades |
Market Perform |
Ternium |
TX |
Scotiabank |
Downgrades |
Sector Perform |
Lumentum Holdings |
LITE |
JP Morgan |
Downgrades |
Neutral |
Loop Energy |
LPEN |
CIBC |
Downgrades |
Neutral |
Coinbase Global |
COIN |
Piper Sandler |
Initiates Coverage On |
Overweight |
KnowBe4 |
KNBE |
Berenberg |
Initiates Coverage On |
Buy |
Verrica Pharmaceuticals |
VRCA |
RBC Capital |
Initiates Coverage On |
Outperform |
MannKind |
MNKD |
RBC Capital |
Initiates Coverage On |
Sector Perform |
Live Nation Entertainment |
LYV |
Wolfe Research |
Initiates Coverage On |
Outperform |
Allogene Therapeutics |
ALLO |
B. Riley Securities |
Initiates Coverage On |
Buy |
Forte Biosciences |
FBRX |
B. Riley Securities |
Initiates Coverage On |
Buy |
MongoDB |
MDB |
Goldman Sachs |
Initiates Coverage On |
Buy |
Dropbox |
DBX |
Goldman Sachs |
Initiates Coverage On |
Sell |
SolarWinds |
SWI |
Goldman Sachs |
Initiates Coverage On |
Sell |
Anaplan |
PLAN |
Goldman Sachs |
Initiates Coverage On |
Neutral |
Source: Benzinga
Economic releases
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD remained bid above 0.6500
AUD/USD extended further its bullish performance, advancing for the fourth session in a row on Thursday, although a sustainable breakout of the key 200-day SMA at 0.6526 still remain elusive.
EUR/USD faces a minor resistance near at 1.0750
EUR/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s small downtick and resumed its uptrend north of 1.0700 the figure, always on the back of the persistent sell-off in the US Dollar ahead of key PCE data on Friday.
Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data
Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.
Bitcoin price continues to get rejected from $65K resistance as SEC delays decision on spot BTC ETF options
Bitcoin (BTC) price has markets in disarray, provoking a broader market crash as it slumped to the $62,000 range on Thursday. Meanwhile, reverberations from spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to influence the market.
US economy: slower growth with stronger inflation
The dollar strengthened, and stocks fell after statistical data from the US. The focus was on the preliminary estimate of GDP for the first quarter. Annualised quarterly growth came in at just 1.6%, down from the 2.5% and 3.4% previously forecast.