USD/RUB Price Forecast: Plunges near monthly lows at 95.88


  • USD/RUB has found bids near 95.88, which has triggered double bottom formation.
  • Asset auctioning below 61.8% Fibo retracement adds to the downside filters.
  • Oscillation of the RSI (14) in a 40.00-60.00 range signals consolidation ahead.

The USD/RUB pair has witnessed some significant bids near 95.88 on Thursday after falling around 38.10% from its monthly high at 155.00. The pair has been bounced sharply after the successful test of March 16 lows at 96.00.

On the daily scale, USD/RUB has formed a double bottom pattern at March 16 and March 21 lows of 96.00. Usually, a double bottom formation signifies less pessimism on the retest of the previous lows. The asset is auctioning below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (placed from March 7 high at 155.00 to March 21 low at 96.00) at 105.23. The asset has sensed support from the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is trading near 95.88.

A bear cross is likely amid 10 and 20-period EMAs, which will add to the downside filters.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a range of 40.00-60.00, which advocates consolidation going forward.

For the upside, bulls need to overstep Wednesday’s high at 107.00, which will drive the asset towards a round level barricade at 110.00, followed by 50% Fibo retracement at 115.00.

On the flip side, bears may find grip if the pair violates March 21 low at 96.00 on the downside, which will drag the major near monthly lows at 89.40. Breach of the latter will send the asset towards round level support at 85.00.

USD/RUB daily chart

USD/RUB

Overview
Today last price 101.75
Today Daily Change -0.5000
Today Daily Change % -0.49
Today daily open 102.25
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 112.7093
Daily SMA50 91.4654
Daily SMA100 82.6891
Daily SMA200 77.7901
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 103.5
Previous Daily Low 95.8749
Previous Weekly High 133.005
Previous Weekly Low 95.9999
Previous Monthly High 114
Previous Monthly Low 74.254
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 100.5872
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 98.7877
Daily Pivot Point S1 97.5833
Daily Pivot Point S2 92.9165
Daily Pivot Point S3 89.9582
Daily Pivot Point R1 105.2084
Daily Pivot Point R2 108.1667
Daily Pivot Point R3 112.8335

 

 

 

 

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