USD/IDR technical analysis: 200-day SMA questions buyers following a month-old support-line

  • 200-day SMA challenges the upside based on near-term support-line.
  • Multiple Fibonacci retracements and a horizontal resistance might also keep prices in check.

Although a month old ascending trend-line portrays the USD/IDR pair’s strength, 200-day SMA limits the immediate upside at the quote trades near 14,450 on early Friday.

Considering the pair’s repeated failures to clear 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on a closing basis, chances of witnessing a pullback to 14,380 support-line seem brighter.

Should there be additional declines under 14,380, 14,350/40 and 14,230 are likely following numbers to appear on the chart.

In a case where prices rally beyond 200-day SMA level of 14,480, 50% Fibonacci retracement of its September 2018 to February 2019 downturn at 14,650 can please buyers ahead of challenging them with 14,720/25 resistance-area including highs marked on December 26 and April 25.

If at all the bulls keep dominating past-14,725 resistance, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 14,830 and mid-November highs near 14,935 could please them.

USD/IDR daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

    1. R3 14698.67 
    2. R2 14620.83 
    3. R1 14549.67 
  1. PP 14471.83
    1. S1  14400.67 
    2. S2 14322.83
    3. S3 14251.67


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