USD/CHF eyes fresh 21-month low below 0.8930 as US Inflation cools further, US PPI eyed


  • USD/CHF is expected to extend its downside journey to a fresh 21-month low below 0.8930 as US inflation has softened further.
  • Lower gasoline prices would impact the input cost and its effects will be observed in the prices of goods and services.
  •  S&P500 futures have extended their downside as Fed policymakers are anticipating a mild recession.

The USD/CHF pair is juggling around its fresh annual low at 0.8943 in the Asian session. The Swiss Franc asset witnessed an intense sell-off on Wednesday after the United States inflation softened more than estimates.

On Wednesday, US headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported at 5.0% while the street was estimating it at 5.2%. Headline CPI has decelerated to 5% from its peak of 9.1% and for that, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has gone through rigorous rate hikes. However, the core inflation that doesn’t include oil and gas prices rebounded to 5.6%, which indicates that Fed chair Jerome Powell has a lot to do to bring down inflationary pressures to 2%.

San Francisco Fed Bank President Mary Daly said late Wednesday, "There's a lot more in the pipeline of monetary policy tightening," as reported by Reuters. However, she refrained from forecasting the end of the tightening cycle

US inflation softening weighed heavily on the US Dollar Index (DXY). The USD Index has continued its downside momentum as a consistent deceleration in inflationary pressures has cemented an early pause to the policy-tightening cycle by the Fed.

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have extended their downside after a bearish Wednesday as Fed minutes have conveyed that policymakers are anticipating a mild recession later this year, portraying a lower risk appetite for equities.

Going forward, US Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be keenly watched. Lower gasoline prices have reduced overall input costs for the production of goods and services and its impact will be observed in their prices fixed at factory gates. Monthly headline PPI is expected to remain stagnant against a deflation of 0.1%. Annual headline PPI would soften heavily to 3.0% from the prior release of 4.6%.

On the Swiss Franc front, the bailout proposal for Credit Suisse failed to get a blessing from Switzerland's parliament. Switzerland's parliament rejected on Wednesday the government's 109 billion Swiss francs ($120.82 billion) aid for Credit Suisse's merger with UBS as reported by Reuters.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.8958
Today Daily Change -0.0003
Today Daily Change % -0.03
Today daily open 0.8961
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9143
Daily SMA50 0.9228
Daily SMA100 0.9263
Daily SMA200 0.9497
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9039
Previous Daily Low 0.8944
Previous Weekly High 0.9198
Previous Weekly Low 0.9007
Previous Monthly High 0.944
Previous Monthly Low 0.9072
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.898
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9002
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.8924
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8886
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8828
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9018
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9076
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9113

 

 

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