USD/CAD Price Analysis: Loonie strength takes the price through the wedge formation to the downside


  • USD/CAD is trading just above flat for the session on Thursday.
  • The price has broken and retested the wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart.

USD/CAD 4-hour chart

USD/CAD has been in a downward trend for a while coinciding with the oil market recovery. Today has been mixed for the pair as strong US data pushed the greenback higher. The pair is pretty much flat for the session as oil pushed higher once again counteracting the USD strength. Also the RBC Canadian manufacturing PMI number beat expectations adding some weight to the positive CAD story.

The key feature on the chart is the wedge formation below. The price has now broken and retested the pattern and if the technicals play out we could see a further extension of the move lower. The target on the downside for the bears could be the wave low at 1.3315 although it is some way away from the current level.

Looking at the indicators they are both still bearish. The Relative Strength Index hit the oversold zone and now moved higher. There is space for another move lower but we would need another round of selling momentum. The MACD signal lines are under the zero line and the histogram is already in the red. The only issue is the histogram bars diminishing in size, if the move lower is to transpire maybe some more momentum is needed.

USD/CAD wedge pattern

Additional levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3588
Today Daily Change 0.0001
Today Daily Change % 0.01
Today daily open 1.3587
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3556
Daily SMA50 1.3783
Daily SMA100 1.3805
Daily SMA200 1.3493
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3602
Previous Daily Low 1.3546
Previous Weekly High 1.3716
Previous Weekly Low 1.3486
Previous Monthly High 1.3802
Previous Monthly Low 1.3316
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.358
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3567
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3555
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3523
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.35
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3611
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3634
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3666

 

 

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