• USD/CAD printed a fresh weekly low around the 1.2740’s.
  • Mixed market sentiment and rising oil prices boost the Canadian dollar.
  • Trudeau’s victory lifts the loonie and the S&P/TSX Toronto Composite Index. 

Earlier during the European session, the USD/CAD dipped to a fresh weekly low at 1.2742.  However, as American traders got to their desks, the US dollar trimmed some of its losses. The USD/CAD is trading at 1.2814, down 0.09% at the time of writing.

The market sentiment is mixed. US stock indices post gains between 0.03% and 0.35%, while safe-havens flows pressure commodity currencies down.
The US Dollar Index, which measures the buck’s performance against six peers, is barely down 0.01%, sitting at 93.23, weighing on the USD/CAD. Also exerting downward pressure, West Intermediate Texas (WTI) oil is trading at $70.49 up 0.0.14%.

The Canadian dollar recovers after Trudeau wins

In Canada, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau won a third term in a federal election on Monday. Despite the triumph, the political balance barely change. Canada’s stock index S&P/TSX rose 0.7%, following the path of US indices, while the loonie printed a weekly low around the 1.2740’s.

In the Canadian economic docket, the New Housing Price Index on a yearly basis rose to 12.2%, better than the previous year of 11.9%. Meanwhile, the month-over-month reading for August increased 0.7% higher than July’s 0.4%. 

In the US on Tuesday, the Housing Starts and Building Permits rose by 3.9% and 6%, respectively, in August.

Meanwhile, the Federal Open Market Committee meeting is underway. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will release its monetary policy statement, along with the updated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). The market expects no change in the interest rate. Regarding a reduction in the bond purchasing program, investors expect a delay on the announcement until November’s meeting.

KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS TO WATCH

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.2814
Today Daily Change -0.0020
Today Daily Change % -0.09
Today daily open 1.2826
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2644
Daily SMA50 1.2606
Daily SMA100 1.2411
Daily SMA200 1.2524
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2896
Previous Daily Low 1.2751
Previous Weekly High 1.2774
Previous Weekly Low 1.2601
Previous Monthly High 1.2949
Previous Monthly Low 1.2453
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2841
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2807
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2753
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.268
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2608
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2898
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.297
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3043

 

 

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