US treasury yield curve flattest since 2007


  • US Treasury yield curve hit the flattest level since June 2007. 
  • The spread between the 10- and two-year yields dropped to 0.028 basis points. 

US treasury yield curve hits its flattest level in more than a decade on Tuesday, indicating increased recession fears.

The spread between the US 10-year and two-year treasury yields declined to 0.028 basis points, the narrowest since June 2007, according to Refinitiv data.

The spread narrowed even though the yields rose on the US President Trump's decision to delay imposing a 10% tariff on Chinese goods.

The US 10-year yield rose by six basis points to 1.70% on Tuesday and the two-year yield added more than ten basis points to reach 1.677%.

An upbeat US inflation data may have also played a role in lifting Treasury yields. The Labor Department said the U.S. consumer price index climbed 0.3% last month, lifted by gains in the cost of energy products and a range of other goods. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the CPI gained 0.3% after rising by the same margin in June, according to a Reuters report.

Looking forward, the spread may invert, triggering if markets remain risk-averse, boosting the demand for the 10-year treasury note. Curv inversion, a recession indicator, may further add to the risk-off tone in the markets.

 

 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD stays under pressure around 0.6830 while beginning the NFP day

AUD/USD declines to 0.6830 during the initial Friday morning in Asia. The quote stretches losses made on Thursday as the second-tier Aussie data becomes the latest disappointment.

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY steady at 200-DMA ahead of critical US NFP data

Steady below the 200-day moving average, Yen fell from 108.97 to 108.66 overnight as positive trade deal headlines flowed through the news wires and helped US stocks eke out further gains. Risk appetite was solid into the close on Wall Street overnight.

USD/JPY News

US Non-Farm Payrolls November Preview: Labor market continues to defy concerns

Non-farm payrolls are predicted to rise 180,000 in Nov following Oct’s 128,000 increase. The unemployment rate is expected to be unchanged at 3.6%. Hourly earnings will gain 0.3% in Nov after October’s 0.2% increase and annual earnings will be stable at 3.0%.

Read more

Gold: Modestly changed to $1475 as markets turn cautious ahead of US NFP

Gold fails to extend the previous day’s recovery while trading near $1475/76 amid Friday’s Asian session. That said, the yellow metal registers failures to close beyond 50-day EMA for the third consecutive day.

Gold News

GBP/USD: 1.3180 holds the key to further upside

GBP/USD traders modestly changed around 1.3160 by the press time of early Asian session on Friday. That said, overbought conditions of the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the recent stop in north-run make buyers doubtful.

GBP/USD News

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures