Data released today showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained unchanged in September while the core index rose 0.1%. Analysts at Wells Fargo, point out that while the trend in inflation has firmed recently, it remains sufficiently tame for the Federal Reserve.
Key Quotes:
“Inflation eased up in September, with prices unchanged over the month. A 2.4% drop in gasoline prices held down the headline. We expect the drag to dissipate next month, following the jump in gas prices after outages at a major Saudi Arabian facility, and for gasoline to be a more neutral force in October as oil prices have come down more recently.”
“Although the core trend has firmed in recent months, inflation is still running below levels that are likely to threaten the FOMC’s easing bias. Committee members have heavily emphasized the symmetric nature of the inflation target. With the core PCE deflator running below the FOMC’s
2% target for all but 11 months of the 10+ year expansion and inflation expectations at the low end of historical ranges, concerns about inflation remain skewed toward it running too cool, not too hot. Moreover, the dimmer prospects for U.S. growth under the light of a weak global economy and the trade war are expected to weigh on inflation in the coming months and offset the temporary boost from tariffs.”
“The softer September print in core CPI weakens FOMC hawks’ case for holding off on further rate cuts as it shows inflation is not about to break meaningfully above the Fed’s target. We continue to look for the FOMC to cut rates again in the fourth quarter, most likely as early as this month, as
growth slows and significant downside risks to the outlook linger.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD fluctuates near 1.0700 after US data
EUR/USD stays in a consolidation phase at around 1.0700 in the American session on Wednesday. The data from the US showed a strong increase in Durable Goods Orders, supporting the USD and making it difficult for the pair to gain traction.
USD/JPY refreshes 34-year high, attacks 155.00 as intervention risks loom
USD/JPY is renewing a multi-decade high, closing in on 155.00. Traders turn cautious on heightened risks of Japan's FX intervention. Broad US Dollar rebound aids the upside in the major. US Durable Goods data are next on tap.
Gold keeps consolidating ahead of US first-tier figures
Gold finds it difficult to stage a rebound midweek following Monday's sharp decline but manages to hold above $2,300. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the green above 4.6% after US data, not allowing the pair to turn north.
Worldcoin looks set for comeback despite Nvidia’s 22% crash Premium
Worldcoin price is in a better position than last week's and shows signs of a potential comeback. This development occurs amid the sharp decline in the valuation of the popular GPU manufacturer Nvidia.
Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out Premium
While it is hard to predict when geopolitical news erupts, the level of tension is lower – allowing for key data to have its say. This week's US figures are set to shape the Federal Reserve's decision next week – and the Bank of Japan may struggle to halt the Yen's deterioration.