NZD/USD: Pressured near three-week low under 0.6000 after NZ Budget

  • NZD/USD extends RBNZ-led losses after New Zealand (NZ) budget.
  • The budget projects net debt will surge to 53.6% of GDP by 2023.
  • Not only US-China tension but the Aussie-Sino trade war also weighs on the Kiwi pair, virus fears are an extra burden.
  • A comparatively light economic calendar ahead of China’s April month data dump highlights qualitative catalysts for fresh impetus.

NZD/USD pulls back from three-week low to 0.5980 after New Zealand budget release on early Thursday.

The annual forecast statement predicts net debt will surge to 53.6% of GDP by 2023.

 Read: NZ FinMin Robertson: NZ$50 billion COVID-19 response and recovery fund

The RBNZ’s expansion of Quantitative Easing (QE), coupled with the dovish guidance and economic outlook, piled heavy losses on the kiwi pair on Wednesday. The declines gain additional strength amid the currently risk-averse markets based on China’s fight with the US and Australia, New Zealand’s largest customer.

While portraying the risk-tone, US bond yield and stocks in Asia-Pacific register mild losses during the early Thursday.

Further, the Fed policymakers’ efforts, including those from Chairman Jerome Powell, to rule out odds of negative interest rates also weighed on the pair. Though, the latest comments from US President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin renewed the fears of few more Fed rate cuts.

Additionally, downbeat Aussie employment data act as an extra downer for the pair. Australia’s April month jobs report marked 6.2% Unemployment Rate versus 8.3% forecast while Employment Change dropped to -594.3K against -575K expected.

The kiwi pair traders may now keep eyes on the trade/virus updates for the fresh direction ahead of April month data dump from China, up for publishing at 02:00 GMT on Friday. However, weekly reading of the US Jobless Claims may offer intermediate moves.

Technical analysis

A daily closing below the six-week-old support line, currently around 0.5975, becomes necessary for the bears to aim for April month lows near 0.5910 and 0.5840 respectively. Meanwhile, the previous month's top near 0.6175, as well as 100-day EMA close to 0.6185, could check buyers during the recoveries beyond 0.6000.

Additional important levels

Today last price 0.5973
Today Daily Change -18 pips
Today Daily Change % -0.30%
Today daily open 0.5991
Daily SMA20 0.6044
Daily SMA50 0.602
Daily SMA100 0.6265
Daily SMA200 0.6335
Previous Daily High 0.6099
Previous Daily Low 0.5979
Previous Weekly High 0.6148
Previous Weekly Low 0.5994
Previous Monthly High 0.6176
Previous Monthly Low 0.5843
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6025
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6053
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5947
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5903
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5827
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6067
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6143
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6186



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