Goldman Sachs: Fed easing has offset the effects of the trade war


Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate cuts have offset the negative effects of the US-China trade war and an economic recession is nw looking unlikely unless there is a dramatic escalation in the trade war, in which case recession risks would be back on the table, analysts at Goldman Sachs wrote in a weekend snippet.

Key quote

"Surprisingly limited"  evidence for a significant effect on business, consumer and investor sentiment.

So far, the US central bank has cut rates by 50 basis points in 2019. The probability of another 25 basis point rate cut at the Oct. 30 meeting currently stands above 80%, according to CME's FedWatch tool.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

FXStreet Trading Signals now available!

Access to real-time signals, community and guidance now!


Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

USD/JPY keeps loses below 107.50 amid upbeat Japan data dump, risk-off

USD/JPY keeps the red below 107.50, as the yen remains well bid amid US-China tensions and upbeat Japanese data dump. The Asian stocks and S&P 500 futures flash red. Focus shifts to the US data and President Trump's response to the Hong Kong issue. 

USD/JPY News

AUD/USD: Choppy within range below 0.6650 amid US-China risks

AUD/USD remains depressed around 0.6640 so far this Friday. Risk-tone remains heavy as global equities are weighed down by escalating US-China tensions over the Hong Kong security issue, with all eyes now on Trump's presser. 

AUD/USD News

Eurozone Inflation Preview: A sub-zero rate may be insufficient to down the euro

Preliminary eurozone CPI data for May will likely show depressed inflation. Without shocking figures, the EUR/USD has room to rise, in the opinion of FXStreet’s analyst Yohay Elam.Key quotes: “Petrol will likely put pressure on CPI."

Read more

Gold picks up a bid amid losses in the US stock futures

Gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, is drawing bids as the US stock futures are signaling risk aversion. China imposed the controversial national security bill on Hong Kong on Thursday. Markets fear the US would retaliate with sanctions on China.

Gold News

WTI eyes record monthly surge

While West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude's front-month contract has backed off from the 2.5-month highs reached earlier this week due to deteriorating US-China tensions, it is still on track to post its biggest monthly gain on record. 

Oil News

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures