Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD reverses a dip to sub-$1900 levels, lacks follow-through


  • Gold once again showed some resilience below the $1900 mark and staged an intraday bounce.
  • A modest USD pullback from highs extended some support to the dollar-denominated commodity.
  • Stable opening in the US equity markets kept a lid on any strong gains ahead of Powell’s testimony.

Gold edged higher during the early North American session and has now moved back closer to the top end of its daily trading range, around the $1917-18 region.

The commodity once again showed some resilience below the $1900 round-figure mark and managed to regain some traction, albeit lacked any strong follow-through buying. The intraday uptick was supported by a modest US dollar pullback, which tends to benefit the dollar-denominated commodity.

This coupled with a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields further drove some flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal. Investors seem convinced that the Fed Chair Jerome Powell will reiterate to keep interest rates lower for longer during his congressional testimony on Tuesday.

However, some stability in the US equity markets undermined the precious metal's safe-haven status and kept a lid on any strong intraday positive move. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further intraday appreciating move.

From a technical perspective, the overnight fall confirmed a near-term bearish break through a descending triangle. This coupled with the fact that technical indicators on the daily chart have just started drifting into the negative territory support prospects for additional weakness.

Acceptance below the $1900 mark will reaffirm the bearish bias and prompt some aggressive technical selling. This might then turn the commodity vulnerable to accelerate the slide back towards testing August monthly swing lows support near the $1863-62 region.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1913.2
Today Daily Change 0.92
Today Daily Change % 0.05
Today daily open 1912.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1944.51
Daily SMA50 1937.25
Daily SMA100 1838.58
Daily SMA200 1716.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1955.66
Previous Daily Low 1882.34
Previous Weekly High 1973.64
Previous Weekly Low 1932.88
Previous Monthly High 2075.32
Previous Monthly Low 1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1910.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1927.65
Daily Pivot Point S1 1877.86
Daily Pivot Point S2 1843.44
Daily Pivot Point S3 1804.54
Daily Pivot Point R1 1951.18
Daily Pivot Point R2 1990.08
Daily Pivot Point R3 2024.5

 

 

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