Gold consolidating near monthly tops, await Trump healthcare vote and Fedspeaks


Gold paused six consecutive days of winning streak and eased on Thursday, consolidating its recent gains to 3-week peak.

Currently trading around $1247 region, a modest recovery in the US treasury bond yields supported a tepid US Dollar recovery and was seen weighing on dollar-denominated commodities - like gold. Adding to this, signs of some stability returning in the global equity markets further dented the precious metal's safe-haven appeal and collaborated to a mild retracement from Wednesday's monthly tops.

Further, downslide, however, was limited as investors remained cautious amid uncertainty over Trump administration’s promised pro-growth economic policies and ahead of a key vote on bill to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act on Thursday.

Risk aversion: Invisible but it isn’t dead - Westpac

Investors on Thursday will also confront speeches from the Fed Chair Janet Yellen and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, where a dovish bias would support further gains for the yellow metal. 

Technical levels to watch

From current levels, monthly highs near $1251 area remains immediate resistance, which if cleared decisively should lift the commodity back towards the very important 200-day SMA hurdle near $1260 region. 

On the flip side, a follow through retracement below $1244 level (session low) now seems to find support near $1239-38 region and is closely followed by a strong support near $1234 level. Only a decisive break back below $1234 important support would negate near-term bullish bias.

  TREND INDEX OB/OS INDEX VOLATILY INDEX
15M Bullish Neutral Low
1H Bearish Neutral Low
4H Bullish Overbought High
1D Bullish Oversold Shrinking
1W Bullish Neutral Low

 

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