• GBP/USD turned lower for the third straight day and dropped to a nearly two-week low.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations and the cautious mood offered support to the safe-haven USD.
  • The downside seems cushioned as the focus remains on Fed Chair Powell and BoE’s Bailey.

The GBP/USD pair prolonged this week's retracement slide from the 1.2330-1.2335 region and edged lower for the third successive day on Wednesday. The downward trajectory dragged spot prices to a nearly two-week low, closer to mid-1.2100s during the first part of the European session, though lacked follow-through selling.

The market sentiment remains fragile amid concerns that a more aggressive move by major central banks to curb soaring inflation would pose challenges to global economic growth. This assisted the US dollar to capitalize on the previous day's strong move up and gain some follow-through traction, which, in turn, exerted some downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair.

The British pound was further weighed down by Brexit woes and expectations that the Bank of England would opt for a more gradual approach towards raising interest rates. It is worth recalling that the UK House of Commons on Monday voted in favour of a controversial bill that would unilaterally overturn part of Britain's divorce deal from the EU agreed in 2020.

The latest development raised the risk of fresh tensions with the EU amid the cost of living crisis in the UK and growing recession fears. This might continue to undermine sterling and supports prospects for a further near-term depreciating move for the GBP/USD pair. That said, retreating US bond yields might cap the USD and help limit any deeper losses, at least for now.

Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key event risk. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and BoE Governor Andrew Bailey are due to speak at the ECB forum in Sintra. Investors will look for cues about the central bank's policy tightening path before determining the next leg of a directional move for the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2182
Today Daily Change -0.0001
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 1.2183
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2335
Daily SMA50 1.245
Daily SMA100 1.2845
Daily SMA200 1.3177
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2292
Previous Daily Low 1.2181
Previous Weekly High 1.2324
Previous Weekly Low 1.2161
Previous Monthly High 1.2667
Previous Monthly Low 1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2223
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2249
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2145
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2107
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2034
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2257
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.233
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2368

 

 

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