GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rectangle formation advocates volatility contraction


  • A break of the Darvas Box invites volatility expansion in the asset.
  • The short-term EMAs are overlapping to the cable prices, which signals a consolidation ahead.
  • A (40.00-60.00) range oscillation by the RSI (14) is advocating a rangebound phase going forward.

The GBP/USD pair is displaying a lackluster performance in the Asian session. The asset has auctioned in a narrow range of 1.2257-1.2279 and is constantly hovering around Friday’s closing price at 1.2272. On a broader note, the cable is displaying back and forth moves from the past week after a responsive buying action below the psychological support of 1.2000.

On an hourly scale, the asset is forming a Darvas Box in a range of Jun 17 low 1.2173 to June 21 high at 1.2324. The formation of the above-mentioned chart pattern indicates a slippage in the standard deviation, which is followed by a breakout in the same.

The 20- and 50- period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on similar level around 1.2270 are overlapping the cable prices, which strengthen a consolidation ahead.

Also, a (40.00-60.00) range oscillation by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is advocating a range-bound phase.  Although the momentum oscillator is backing a rangebound move, a volatility expansion cannot be ruled out going forward.

An upside break of the Darvas Box at 1.2324, which is the June 21 high will strengthen the cable bulls and will drive the asset towards June 16 high at 1.2407, followed by June 10 high at 1.2518.

On the flip side, the pound bulls could lose their strength if the asset drops below the previous week’s low at 1.2161, which will send the asset towards June 16 low at 1.2041. A breach of the latter will drag the asset towards the psychological support at 1.2000.

GBP/USD hourly chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2274
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.04
Today daily open 1.2269
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2375
Daily SMA50 1.2482
Daily SMA100 1.2872
Daily SMA200 1.3191
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.232
Previous Daily Low 1.2241
Previous Weekly High 1.2324
Previous Weekly Low 1.2161
Previous Monthly High 1.2667
Previous Monthly Low 1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.229
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2271
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2233
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2197
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2154
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2313
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2357
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2393

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures