GBP/USD holds above 1.40 after UK jobless rate beats estimates with 4.9% in February


  • UK claimant count change arrived at +10.1K in March.
  • The unemployment rate in the UK dropped to 4.9% in March.
  • The UK wages excluding bonuses rose by 4.4% YoY vs. 4.2% expected.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Tuesday, the UK’s official jobless rate eased further to 4.9% in February vs. the previous 5.0% and 5.1% expected while the claimant count change showed a minor rise last month.

The number of people claiming jobless benefits showed an increase of 10.1K in March when compared to +86.6K seen previously. The claimant count rate came in at 7.3% vs. 7.3% last.

The UK’s average weekly Earnings, excluding bonuses, arrived at +4.4% 3Mo/YoY in Feb versus +4.2% last and +4.2% expected while the gauge including bonuses came in at +4.5% 3Mo/YoY in Jan versus +4.8% previous and +4.8% expected.

Key points (via ONS)

The latest figures suggest that the jobs market has been broadly stable in recent months.

After a few months of increases, there was a small monthly decrease in the number of payrolled employees in March 2021.

The number of job vacancies in January to March 2021 fell by nearly 23% on the year.

Growth in the number of vacancies has slowed this quarter

56,000 fewer people were in payrolled employment in March 2021 when compared with February 2021.

Annual growth in average employee pay continued to strengthen.

The UK employment rate was estimated at 75.1%, 1.4 percentage points lower than a year earlier.

GBP/USD reaction

GBP/USD keeps the upbeat momentum intact above 1.4000 amid mixed UK labor market report.

The spot was last seen trading at 1.4003, up 0.15% on the day, courtesy of the relentless slide in the US dollar.

The pound also remains underpinned by the expectations of strong UK economic indicators, as the country re-opened after three months of covid-induced lockdowns. Higher vaccination rates in the Kingdom also remain supportive of the recent rally in the cable.

About UK jobs

The UK Average Earnings released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is a key short-term indicator of how levels of pay are changing within the UK economy. Generally speaking, the positive earnings growth anticipates positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD is holding onto its recovery mode near 1.0650 in European trading on Friday. A recovery in risk sentiment is helping the pair, as the safe-haven US Dollar pares gains. Earlier today, reports of an Israeli strike inside Iran spooked markets. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is rebounding toward 1.2450 in early Europe on Friday, having tested 1.2400 after the UK Retail Sales volumes stagnated again in March, The pair recovers in tandem with risk sentiment, as traders take account of the likely Israel's missile strikes on Iran. 

GBP/USD News

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price is trading below $2,400 in European trading on Friday, holding its retreat from a fresh five-day high of $2,418. Despite the pullback, Gold price remains on track to book the fifth weekly gain in a row, supported by lingering Middle East geopolitical risks.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Nearly a week to the day when Iran sent drones and missiles into Israel, Israel has retaliated and sent a missile into Iran. The initial reports caused a large uptick in the oil price.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures