Forex Today: Fed fails to down dollar with cut to 0%, stocks sink, as coronavirus rages, G7 eyed


Here is what you need to know on Monday, March 16:

The market mood remains damp with stocks sinking at safe-haven assets such as the dollar, yen, and goldrising toward $1,550 – in-demand despite additional surprising action from central banks. The moves come in reaction to coronavirus, which is taking a growing human and economic toll. S&P futures hit the 5% down limit, and even Bitcoin struggled. The rush to dollars reflects the risk of the financial system. 

Coronavirus in Europe: Spain and has entered a state of emergency, France slapped severe restrictions, and several European countries closed borders as mortalities rise rapidly in the old continent. The global number of deaths tops 6,000. 

Coronavirus in the US: Additional cities and states announced the shutdown of public spaces while the CDC recommended disallowing gatherings of more than 50 people. President Donald Trump declared an emergency late on Friday. New York City closed its schools and Los Angeles its nightlife. 

Cut to zero: The Federal Reserve announced the second unscheduled rate cut in less than two weeks, this time by 100 basis points to 0%. It also introduced $700 billion worth of bond and mortgage-based securities buying, reminiscent of the financial crisis. It also announced a dollar swap line with five other central banks and other measures, just ahead of the market open on Friday. President Donald Trump that had been reportedly mulling demoing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, said he is happy with the move. 

See Fed Quick Analysis: Panic move exposes the financial system's vulnerability, USD buying opportunity?

Other central bank action: The Bank of Japan also brought forward its rate decision and announced it is enhancing its bond-buying scheme – doubling ETF'buying from ¥6 trillion to ¥12 trilion  yet refrained from reducing the already negative interest rates. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand was the first out of the gate with a surprise reduction in borrowing costs, all the way to 0.25%. The Bank of Canada slashed rates by an additional 50bp late on Friday, in coordination with the government. 

Economic downfall: Chinese industrial output plunged by 13.5% in January and February, fixed investment by 24.5%, and retail sales by 20.5% in devastating figures that show the impact of the outbreak on the global economy. Global airlines are slashing staff, Apple closed stores outside China, and other sectors such as tourism have come to a standstill. 

Fiscal stimulus: Finance ministers of the Group of Seven are set to hold a conference call later in the day to coordinate further action and ways to maintain the global economy together. Trump was reportedly reluctant to give the go-ahead while German Chancellor Angela Merkel is pessimistic.

EUR/USD is trading just above 1.11. EU finance ministers will also hold a call on coronavirus to discuss the closure of borders and also economic aid after Germany ditched its strict approach to debt spending amid the extraordinary situation. The European Central Bank added to its QE program and introduced a new lending scheme last week.

GBP/USD is attempting a recovery after a massive sell-off on Friday amid the rush to the dollar. The UK has taken a different approach to battle the disease, basically allowing the virus to spread to reach "herd immunity." The government is contemplating asking people over 70 to stay at home. 

AUD/USD has dropped to the lowest in 17 years as the Reserve Bank of Australia is set to follow the RBNZ with rate cuts and perhaps also QE. 

Oil prices have also tumbled down, due to the potential for falling demand and the ongoing price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. WTI Crude is at the $30 handle. USD/CAD is on the rise.

Cryptocurrencies are on the back foot due to the broad sell-off, with Bitcoin tumbling below $5,000. 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0650 amid risk reset

EUR/USD is holding onto its recovery mode near 1.0650 in European trading on Friday. A recovery in risk sentiment is helping the pair, as the safe-haven US Dollar pares gains. Earlier today, reports of an Israeli strike inside Iran spooked markets. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD is rebounding toward 1.2450 in early Europe on Friday, having tested 1.2400 after the UK Retail Sales volumes stagnated again in March, The pair recovers in tandem with risk sentiment, as traders take account of the likely Israel's missile strikes on Iran. 

GBP/USD News

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price defends gains below $2,400 as geopolitical risks linger

Gold price is trading below $2,400 in European trading on Friday, holding its retreat from a fresh five-day high of $2,418. Despite the pullback, Gold price remains on track to book the fifth weekly gain in a row, supported by lingering Middle East geopolitical risks.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Geopolitics once again take centre stage, as UK Retail Sales wither

Nearly a week to the day when Iran sent drones and missiles into Israel, Israel has retaliated and sent a missile into Iran. The initial reports caused a large uptick in the oil price.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures