Eurozone: Lack of enthusiasm for the economy and the euro - Wells Fargo

Today Eurozone PMI reports triggered fears about a recession. According to analysts at Wells Fargo, the manufacturing has weakened considerably, but services (more relevant) have been more resilient. However, they find it hard to get excited about European prospects. 

Key Quotes: 

“Fears of a Eurozone recession are back in the headlines today after a series of disappointing PMI figures from the currency bloc. The March manufacturing PMI declined more than expected to 47.6, the lowest level since 2013.”

“The continued decline in the manufacturing PMI in the first three months of 2019 suggest the weakness in the hard data for the sector probably persisted in the first quarter. Fortunately, the Eurozone economy is primarily based on services, which account for roughly 75% of total value added in the economy, rather than manufacturing, which accounts for less than 20%. The services PMI for the overall Eurozone economy has been more resilient in recent months, recovering to 52.8 in February and edging only slightly lower in March to 52.7.”

“We find it hard to get excited about European economic prospects. Despite its relative resilience, the services PMI still remains low at just 52.7, while the composite PMI at 51.3 is consistent with GDP growth of just over 0.1% quarter-over-quarter.”

Our lack of enthusiasm for the Eurozone economy extends to the euro, as we currently look for the euro to remain essentially flat-line over the next few months. We still look for some modest euro gains by year-end and into 2020, but that view is predicated on the Eurozone economy avoiding recession and the European Central Bank eventually normalizing interest rates.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD: Double bottom breakout fails ahead of the Fed

The bullish case for EUR/USD has weakened ahead of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) rate decision due this Wednesday. The currency pair closed well below 1.1263 on Friday, invalidating the double bottom breakout confirmed on June 6.


GBP/USD consolidates the downside near 1.2600, UK politics in spotlight

Although looming Brexit uncertainty dents investment by firms, the GBP/USD pair manages to take advantage of the recent US Dollar (USD) pullback heading into the London open on Monday.


USD/JPY wavers in range near 108.60 amid risk-on

USD/JPY failed to sustain at higher levels once again and returned to the familiar range around 108.60 amid mixed Asian stocks while higher US equity futures and Treasury yields help keep the minor bids intact ahead of Fed.  


Gold: 100-month MA is a level to beat for the bulls

Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to cut through key technical line which proved a tough nut to crack in 2018. The yellow metal rose to $1,358 on Friday, but the break above the 100-month MA.

Gold News

Trade War With India Starts: How Trump is Winning the Global War in 10 Tweets

After a year of talks on U.S. barriers to Indian steel and aluminum, India retaliates against Trump. The Hindu reports India to Impose Retaliatory Tariffs on 29 U.S. Goods Starting June 16. 

Read more