EUR/USD runs into 50% Fib hurdle as US-German yield differential slips to 4.5-year low


  • EUR/USD tested a key Fib hurdle above 1.1060 in Asia. 
  • The dollar is on the defensive, courtest of risk-on and weak labor market data. 
  • Declining yield differential favors further gains in EUR/USD. 

EUR/USD is looking to prolong its recent buoyant mood amid a relentless decline in the US-German bond yield spread.

The currency pair is currently trading near 1.1040, representing a marginal gain on the day, having nearly tested 1.1066 a few minutes before press time. That level marks the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the sell-off from 1.1495 to 1.0636.

EUR/USD jumped 1.36% on Thursday, as markets offered dollars, tracking the risk-on action in the equity markets, which was reportedly triggered by the US Senate's approval of the unprecedented $2 trillion fiscal stimulus package.

The American dollar also took a beating on concerns related to the US job market. The US initial jobless claims topped 3.2 million last week, the official data released Thursday showed. The actual figure was double the 1.5 million forecast and four times greater than the prior high set in October 1982.

Thursday's gain was the pair's four-consecutive daily rise. The winning trend looks set to continue with the US-German yield differential hovering at multi-year lows. The spread between the two-year US and German bond yields declined to 0.934  basis points on Thursday. However, if equities turn red, the USD may draw haven bids, yielding a pullback in EUR/USD.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1042
Today Daily Change 0.0011
Today Daily Change % 0.10
Today daily open 1.1031
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1061
Daily SMA50 1.0999
Daily SMA100 1.1048
Daily SMA200 1.1083
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1059
Previous Daily Low 1.087
Previous Weekly High 1.1237
Previous Weekly Low 1.0638
Previous Monthly High 1.1089
Previous Monthly Low 1.0778
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0987
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0942
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0915
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0798
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0726
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1103
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1175
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1291

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD rises to two-day high ahead of Aussie CPI

AUD/USD rises to two-day high ahead of Aussie CPI

The Aussie Dollar recorded back-to-back positive days against the US Dollar and climbed more than 0.59% on Tuesday, as the US April S&P PMIs were weaker than expected. That spurred speculations that the Federal Reserve could put rate cuts back on the table. The AUD/USD trades at 0.6488 as Wednesday’s Asian session begins.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD extended its positive momentum and rose above the 1.0700 yardstick, driven by the intense PMI-led retracement in the US Dollar as well as a prevailing risk-friendly environment in the FX universe.

EUR/USD News

Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields

Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields

Gold retreats modestly after failing to sustain gains despite fall in US Treasury yields, weaker US Dollar. XAU/USD struggles to capitalize following release of weaker-than-expected S&P Global PMIs, fueling speculation about potential Fed rate cuts.

Gold News

Ethereum continues hinting at rally following reduced long liquidations

Ethereum continues hinting at rally following reduced long liquidations

Ethereum has continued showing signs of a potential rally on Tuesday as most coins in the crypto market are also posting gains. This comes amid speculation of a potential decline following FTX ETH sales and normalizing ETH risk reversals.

Read more

Australia CPI Preview: Inflation set to remain above target as hopes of early interest-rate cuts fade

Australia CPI Preview: Inflation set to remain above target as hopes of early interest-rate cuts fade

An Australian inflation update takes the spotlight this week ahead of critical United States macroeconomic data. The Australian Bureau of Statistics will release two different inflation gauges on Wednesday.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures