EUR/USD Price Analysis: Steadies around mid-1.0200s but sellers stay hopeful


  • EUR/USD bears take a breather around one-week low, probes three-day downtrend.
  • Clear downside break of 50-SMA, one-week-old ascending trend line favors bears.
  • RSI conditions, previous resistance line from early October challenge further downside.

EUR/USD struggles to extend the three-day downtrend while making rounds to the lowest levels in a week, around 1.0250, during early Tuesday.

Even so, the major currency pair remains on the bear’s radar as it defends the previous day’s downside break of the 50-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) and an upward-sloping trend line from November 04.

In addition to the previous support line from early November and the 50-SMA, respectively around 1.0290 and 1.0310 in that order, a one-week-old descending trend line near 1.0345 also challenges the EUR/USD pair buyers.

Should the quote manage to remain firmer past 1.0345, the monthly high near 1.0480 and the late-June peak surrounding 1.0615 will gain the market’s attention.

Alternatively, the resistance-turned-support from October 04, close to 1.0195 by the press time, could restrict the EUR/USD pair’s immediate downside amid nearly oversold conditions of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) placed at 14.

If the EUR/USD bears keep the reins past 1.0195 support level, tops marked during late October around 1.0095 and the 200-SMA level surrounding 0.9970 will be in the spotlight.

To sum up, EUR/USD is likely to witness further downside but there prevails a lesser room to the south.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.0252
Today Daily Change 0.0010
Today Daily Change % 0.10%
Today daily open 1.0242
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0097
Daily SMA50 0.9933
Daily SMA100 1.0024
Daily SMA200 1.0408
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0333
Previous Daily Low 1.0223
Previous Weekly High 1.0482
Previous Weekly Low 1.0272
Previous Monthly High 1.0094
Previous Monthly Low 0.9632
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0265
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0291
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0199
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0156
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0088
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0309
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0376
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0419

 

 

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