EUR/USD poised for further declines – Westpac

Strategists at Westpac have recommended selling spot on occasional bullish attempts.

Key Quotes

“EUR firmed through Jan, from sub-1.04 to highs near 1.0830, backed by less negative yield spreads as stronger data in the Eurozone and elsewhere put the US in a less exceptional light and as Trump reflation expectations took a hit. But, since then core EZ-US 2yr spreads have retraced almost all of that Jan move and appear poised to break-out to new EUR-negative lows. Yet, EUR/USD has only retraced about 50% of the Jan rally”.

“n the wake of the more hawkish lean to Chair Yellen's testimony March Fed hike odds can drift yet higher (now 34%, can get to 40-50% before they stabilise).  Between now and the end of next week there are eight Fed speaking engagements scheduled though that number is sure to grow. A clear theme should emerge that the 15 March FOMC is live. President Trump's address to a joint session of Congress 28 Feb is shaping up as a key date too - he could finally outline some precise markers on tax cuts/reforms and infrastructure beyond campaign promises. Meanwhile on the EUR side, safe haven flows are likely to suppress core bund yields at least until upcoming elections in the Netherlands (March 15) and then France (2nd round run-off 7 May) are out of the way. Sell EUR/USD into strength above 1.06 for a continuation of the down move”.


Sell 58%
Buy 42%
Avg Sell Price 1.0678
Avg Buy Price 1.0687
Liquidity Distribution


Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these securities. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Forex involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.