EUR/USD drops to near 0.9700 as DXY recovers, US CPI is in spotlight


  • EUR/USD has slipped to near 0.9700 as a rebound in the risk-off impulse has weighed pressure.
  • As per the CME FedWatch tool, chances for a 75 bps rate hike have sky-rocketed to 84%.
  • ECB policymaker is looking to exploit interest rates further to support quantitative tightening.

The EUR/USD pair has slipped to near 0.9700 after attempting to overstep the immediate hurdle of 0.9720 in the Tokyo session. The asset has sensed pressure as the US dollar index (DXY) has recovered its entire morning losses and is hovering around 113.30, at the press time. The risk-off impulse has regained traction as anxiety ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is accelerating dramatically.

Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields have rebounded after dropping to near 3.9%. Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is essential as August figures were better than projections.

September’s projections indicate a decline in the headline US CPI data to 8.1% while the core inflation rate could accelerate further to 6.5%. A higher-than-expected inflation report would bring extreme volatility in the risk-perceived currencies as it will bolster the chances of a hefty rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Per the CME FedWatch tool, chances of a fourth consecutive 75 basis points (bps) rate hike by the Fed have scaled to 84%.

On Wednesday, the minutes of the Fed meeting was loud and clear that bringing price stability is the topmost priority even at the cost of a tight labor market.

Meanwhile, the shared currency bulls have failed to capitalize on hawkish commentary from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde. ECB policymaker stated that the Governing Council is having discussions on Quantitative Tightening (QE) and interest rate is the most appropriate tool in current circumstances.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.9703
Today Daily Change 0.0000
Today Daily Change % 0.00
Today daily open 0.9703
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9813
Daily SMA50 0.9967
Daily SMA100 1.0181
Daily SMA200 1.0594
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9735
Previous Daily Low 0.9668
Previous Weekly High 1
Previous Weekly Low 0.9726
Previous Monthly High 1.0198
Previous Monthly Low 0.9536
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9694
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9709
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9669
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9635
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9602
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9736
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9769
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9803

 

 

 

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