EUR to take cues from Italian politics and Eurozone data - Westpac


According to Tim Riddell, analyst at Westpac, Italian political vulnerability has re-emerged.

Key Quotes

“Tension eased after EU reached agreement over Italy’s budget proposals in November. However, 5-Star support has steadily slid and it is now polling below a reinvigorated centre-left PD.”

“Right-wing Lega now leads polls and so Salvini moved to increase this stance into next week’s EU parliamentary elections by raising the potential of populist expansionary policies that could split the tense coalition and breach EU budget constraints. The widening of factions within the coalition are driving BTP-Bund spread back towards the extremes seen in late 2018 and also risk driving EUR lower.”

“Eurozone data continue to show economic stabilisation and ECB officials have stressed that the “green shoots” have affirmed the potential of achieving their forecasts and goals. Although the delay in US auto sanctions for 6 months is supportive, the rebound in EU activity is vulnerable and political strains during the EU elections are likely to weigh on core Eurozone yields and EUR.”

“The EU election period should restrict EUR/USD rebounds which seems unlikely to push towards 1.13. However, a potential base in the low 1.11s would only be threatened if Italian politics flared up further.”

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility.

Feed news

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD steady around 1.1160 post-FOMC Minutes

The US Federal Reserve document failed to impress, with the market ignoring the release, overshadowed by the Brexit drama and the more updated statement from Chief Powell last Monday.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD: reports suggest UK PM May could resign tonight

GBP/USD is bouncing from its daily low of 1.1623, following news indicating that the UK Prime Minister would resign before the day is over, following an early cabinet coup and multiple backs and forth around it.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY hits fresh lows after FOMC minutes

The USD/JPY pair rose to 110.31 after the release of the FOMC minutes but then turned to the downside and dropped to 110.23, hitting a fresh daily low. 

USD/JPY News

A 30% pullback is a great chance to collect Bitcoins, BTC/USD targets $5,500

ETH/BTC leads the way in the event of falls. Neutral strategies are also possible for the more conservative. This game is the favorite of the applicants for "whale."

Read more

Gold: Yellow Metal under pressure below 1,280.00 resistance

Gold technical analysis: Yellow Metal under pressure below 1,280.00 resistance. The yellow metal is trading below its main SMAs suggesting bearish momentum in the medium term.

Gold News

Editors' pick

EUR/USD steady around 1.1160 post-FOMC Minutes

The US Federal Reserve document failed to impress, with the market ignoring the release, overshadowed by the Brexit drama and the more updated statement from Chief Powell last Monday.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD: reports suggest UK PM May could resign tonight

GBP/USD is bouncing from its daily low of 1.1623, following news indicating that the UK Prime Minister would resign before the day is over, following an early cabinet coup and multiple backs and forth around it.

GBP/USD News

USD/JPY hits fresh lows after FOMC minutes

The USD/JPY pair rose to 110.31 after the release of the FOMC minutes but then turned to the downside and dropped to 110.23, hitting a fresh daily low. 

USD/JPY News

A 30% pullback is a great chance to collect Bitcoins, BTC/USD targets $5,500

ETH/BTC leads the way in the event of falls. Neutral strategies are also possible for the more conservative. This game is the favorite of the applicants for "whale."

Read more

Gold: Yellow Metal under pressure below 1,280.00 resistance

Gold technical analysis: Yellow Metal under pressure below 1,280.00 resistance. The yellow metal is trading below its main SMAs suggesting bearish momentum in the medium term.

Gold News

eur/gbp

central banks

eur/usd

gbp/usd

usd/jpy

aud/usd

Signatures

bitcoin

ethereum

ripple


  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •