- The dollar index trades at levels last seen in April 2018.
- US yields rise on renewed expectations for US fiscal stimulus.
- Risk-on overshadows rising yields and keeps the dollar on the defensive.
Having dived out of the trendline rising from May 2011 and May 2014 lows last week, the dollar index, which tracks the greenback's value against majors, is now trading at 91.24 - the lowest level since April 2018.
The greenback is down 0.6% this week despite an uptick in Treasury yields and US inflation expectations.
The 10-year yield advanced by ten basis points to 0.938% on Monday, the highest level since Nov. 12. The 30-year yield jumped by 12 basis points to 1.67%. Further, long-term inflation expectations, as represented by the 10-year breakeven inflation rate, rose to 1.81%, the highest level since July 2018.
Bonds took a beating on Congress' new push for federal aid
to businesses and state and local governments hurt the
coronavirus pandemic. Further, President-elect Joe Biden indicated that he would deliver a bigger relief package, forcing markets to price in a surge in bond supply.
Some analysts believe the US fiscal largesse and the resulting uptick in yields are positive for the dollar. So far, however, that has failed to materialize.
The dollar is losing ground, possibly because the renewed prospects of additional US fiscal stimulus are boding well for the risk assets. The greenback could suffer deeper declines in the near-term if the risk-on action continues.
Technical levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.0700 after US data
EUR/USD stays in a consolidation phase below 1.0700 in the early American session on Wednesday. The data from the US showed a strong increase in Durable Goods Orders, supporting the USD and making it difficult for the pair to gain traction.
USD/JPY refreshes 34-year high, attacks 155.00 as intervention risks loom
USD/JPY is renewing a multi-decade high, closing in on 155.00. Traders turn cautious on heightened risks of Japan's FX intervention. Broad US Dollar rebound aids the upside in the major. US Durable Goods data are next on tap.
Gold trades on the back foot, manages to hold above $2,300
Gold struggles to stage a rebound midweek following Monday's sharp decline but manages to hold above $2,300. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the green above 4.6% after US data, not allowing the pair to reverse its direction.
Worldcoin looks set for comeback despite Nvidia’s 22% crash Premium
Worldcoin price is in a better position than last week's and shows signs of a potential comeback. This development occurs amid the sharp decline in the valuation of the popular GPU manufacturer Nvidia.
Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out Premium
While it is hard to predict when geopolitical news erupts, the level of tension is lower – allowing for key data to have its say. This week's US figures are set to shape the Federal Reserve's decision next week – and the Bank of Japan may struggle to halt the Yen's deterioration.