• AUD/USD continues losing ground for the third straight day and drops to over a two-year low.
  • The post-FOMC USD rally remains uninterrupted and continues to exert downward pressure.
  • The risk-off impulse further contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive aussie.

The AUD/USD pair remains under heavy selling pressure for the third straight day on Thursday and drops to the 0.6580 region - the lowest since May 2020 during the early European session.

The US dollar builds on the previous day's post-FOMC breakout momentum and hits a fresh 20-year high, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor dragging the AUD/USD pair lower. It is worth recalling that the Fed raised interest rates by another 75 bps on Wednesday and signalled that it will likely undertake more aggressive rate increases to cap inflation. This, along with the prevalent risk-off environment, provides an additional lift to the safe-haven greenback.

The market sentiment remains fragile amid growing worries about a deeper economic downturn and the risk of a further escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In the latest development, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced an immediate partial military mobilization and threatened to use all the means to defend Russia and its people. This, in turn, takes its toll on the global risk sentiment and contributes to driving flows away from the risk-sensitive aussie.

With the latest leg down, the AUD/USD pair confirms this week's bearish breakdown through the 0.6700 mark. A subsequent slide below descending trend-line support extending from December 2020 might have already set the stage for additional weakness. Given that technical indicators on the daily chart are still far from being in the oversold territory, spot prices seem vulnerable to extending the descending trend and aim toward testing the 0.6500 psychological mark.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6585
Today Daily Change -0.0044
Today Daily Change % -0.66
Today daily open 0.6629
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6792
Daily SMA50 0.6884
Daily SMA100 0.6938
Daily SMA200 0.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6706
Previous Daily Low 0.6622
Previous Weekly High 0.6916
Previous Weekly Low 0.667
Previous Monthly High 0.7137
Previous Monthly Low 0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6654
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6673
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6599
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6568
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6515
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6683
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6736
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6767

 

 

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