AUD/USD Price Analysis: Intraday uptick stalls near 100-hour SMA, bullish bias remains


  • AUD/USD once again managed to attract some dip-buying near 0.6400 mark.
  • The near-term technical set-up still seems tilted in favour of bullish traders.
  • Sustained move beyond the 0.6500 mark needed to confirm the bullish bias.

The AUD/USD pair continued showing some resilience near the 0.6400 mark and managed to regain some positive traction on the first day of a new trading week. The uptick assisted the pair to recover a major part of the previous session's slide, albeit struggled to lift it back above 100-hour SMA.

The recent pullback from the 0.6560-70 supply zone has been along a descending trend-channel formation on hourly charts and points to some additional near-term weakness. However, oscillators on the daily chart maintained their bullish bias and support prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying.

Hence, any meaningful slide back towards the 0.6400 round-figure mark might still be seen as a buying opportunity. This, in turn, should help limit the downside near the trend-channel support, which is currently pegged near the 0.6380-75 region.

Meanwhile, bulls are likely to wait for some follow-through buying beyond 100-hour SMA before positioning for a move back towards the key 0.6500 psychological mark. The mentioned hurdle marks the top end of the trend-channel, which if cleared might be seen as a fresh trigger for bulls.

A convincing breakthrough the trend-channel resistance has the potential to lift the pair further beyond 100-day SMA, around the 0.6515 region, towards the 0.6560-70 supply zone. Acceptance above 100-day SMA should pave the way for a move towards reclaiming the 0.6600 round-figure mark.

AUD/USD 1-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.644
Today Daily Change 0.0026
Today Daily Change % 0.41
Today daily open 0.6414
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6436
Daily SMA50 0.6272
Daily SMA100 0.6517
Daily SMA200 0.6667
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6474
Previous Daily Low 0.6401
Previous Weekly High 0.6562
Previous Weekly Low 0.6401
Previous Monthly High 0.657
Previous Monthly Low 0.598
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6429
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6446
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6385
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6357
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6312
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6458
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6503
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6531

 

 

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