- AUD/USD consolidates Friday’s losses around 12-day low, grinds higher around the daily top of late.
- Convergence of 50-SMA, weekly resistance line challenges buyers.
- 200-SMA restricts short-term downside, RSI rebound also keeps buyers hopeful.
AUD/USD picks up bids to refresh intraday high near 0.6930, extending the previous day’s rebound from the 200-SMA during early Monday morning in Europe.
In addition to the U-turn from the key moving average, the recent run-up in the RSI (14) from oversold territory and sluggish MACD also tease the buyers.
However, a confluence of the 50-SMA and one-week-old descending resistance line, around 0.6960 by the press time, challenges AUD/USD bulls.
Following that, a north-run towards the 0.7000 threshold and then to the monthly peak near 0.7050 can’t be ruled out.
On the contrary, a downside break of the 0.6880 support level, comprising the 200-SMA, should recall the AUD/USD sellers.
That said, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-August upside, near 0.6860, could act as an additional filter to the south.
Overall, AUD/USD prices signal further recovery moves. However, bulls await a clear upside break of 0.6960 to retake control.
AUD/USD: Four-hour chart
Trend: Further recovery expected
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