- Federal Reserve officials hawkish commentary failed to underpin the US Dollard.
- Sentiment turned positive, although China’s Covid-19 cases peaked nearby 28,000.
- Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe puts back 50 bps on the table if needed.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is recovering some ground in the North American session, after hitting a daily low beneath 0.6600, amid an improvement in sentiment. Factors like Federal Reserve (Fed) officials’ hawkish commentary and China’s Covid-19 outbreak were not an excuse for the AUD to rise against the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the AUD/USD is trading at 0.6629.
Positive sentiment underpins the Australian Dollar
Wall Street is opening in the green. On Monday, a slew of US central bank policymakers. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said she’s worried about overtightening, and she foresees rates initially at 5%, and from there, rates could go higher, depending on data. Later, the Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said that slowing the pace of interest rates in the next month is possible. Mester commented that pausing is not an option and agreed with Daly, expecting rates at around 5%.
Aside from this, China’s Covid-19 outbreak is grabbing the headlines after the disease caused three deaths in the last three days. Beijing increased restrictions, and arrivals had to take three PCR tests within the first three days. Some schools switched to online learning, while some districts in Beijing asked citizens to stay at home for at least five days.
In the Asian session, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe said that if salaries go up, that will keep inflation in Australia at around “Seven percent, plus or minus (a bit),” adding that a wage spiral in the ‘70s, ‘80s, turned out to be a disaster. Lowe sympathized with workers who can’t accept their wages falling behind, though he added that inflation would get to the RBA’s target if the country can ride through this period. He expects to raise rates further and even put 50 bps increases on the table.
What to watch
The Australian economic calendar will feature S&P Global PMIs for November. On the US front, the Fed parade will continue, with Loretta Mester, Esther George, and James Bullard, crossing the wires.
AUD/USD Key Technical Levels
|Today last price||0.6625|
|Today Daily Change||0.0021|
|Today Daily Change %||0.32|
|Today daily open||0.6604|
|Previous Daily High||0.6684|
|Previous Daily Low||0.6585|
|Previous Weekly High||0.6798|
|Previous Weekly Low||0.6634|
|Previous Monthly High||0.6548|
|Previous Monthly Low||0.617|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||0.6623|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||0.6646|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||0.6564|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||0.6525|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||0.6465|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||0.6664|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||0.6724|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||0.6764|
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