AUD/NZD Price Analysis: Drops towards 1.0500 as NZ Q3 Retail Sales mark a big beat


  • AUD/NZD fails to respect Friday’s bounce off seven month low.
  • New Zealand Retail Sales grew 28% in Q3 versus prior contraction of 14.6%.
  • 10-day SMA, July low restricts immediate upside, bears can eye 50% Fibonacci retracement level of March-August upside.

AUD/NZD stays heavy near the lowest since late-April while taking rounds to the intraday low around 1.0530 during the early Asian session on Monday. The pair recently slumped from 1.0555 to 1.0531 after New Zealand’s (NZ) third quarter (Q3) Retail Sales offered a big beat to the prior release.

Not only the NZ Retail Sales that rose beyond the previous -14.6% to 28% but the Retail Sales ex-Autos, mostly known as Core Retail Sales, also recovered from -13.7% prior to +24.1% QoQ in the Q3.

Read: New Zealand’s Retail Sales unexpectedly jumps 28% in Q3, NZD/USD bounces

Following the data, the pair extends its reversal from a confluence of 10-day SMA and July low, currently near 1.0563/58, which in turn drags the quote towards the recently flashed multi-day low of 1.0510.

During the pair’s additional weakness past-1.0510, the 50% of Fibonacci retracement level near 1.0480 and March 25 high around 1.0220 will lure the AUD/NZD bears.

On the contrary, an upside clearance of 1.0563 on a daily closing isn’t enough to recall the bulls as 200-day SMA and a falling trend line from October 08, respectively around 1.0655 and 1.0700, stand tall to challenge the recovery moves.

AUD/NZD daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.0535
Today Daily Change 0.0002
Today Daily Change % 0.02%
Today daily open 1.0533
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0628
Daily SMA50 1.0724
Daily SMA100 1.0768
Daily SMA200 1.0652
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0552
Previous Daily Low 1.0511
Previous Weekly High 1.063
Previous Weekly Low 1.0511
Previous Monthly High 1.0906
Previous Monthly Low 1.0595
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0536
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0526
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0512
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0491
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0471
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0553
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0573
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0595

 

 

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