It had happened before, actually many times before. Jim looked on with a feeling that swung like a pendulum between helplessness and anger. He felt helpless because he had violated his rule despite the fact that he had so often said that he wouldn’t. He felt angry because he had let himself down. What happened is that he had moved his stop. He had moved it four times in this trade to be exact and the price action had still moved against him. To make matters worse, what would have been a small loss had now turned into a hemorrhaging spectacle. It began innocently enough with what appeared to be a routine trade on the ES E-mini. Jim had identified a drop-base-drop on the 60 minute chart that was coming into a fresh supply zone that was in a downward trend. The 5 minute chart was used to execute his entry. He had a plan that was formulated from his initial pre-market levels that included the Globex overnight high and low. He placed his limit order to be hit in the number 2 position within the zone. He knew that he had a lower percentage of fills with this entry, but according to his calculations, this entry had a higher incidence of follow-through. Jim also had a bracket order to place his stop just above the distal line of the zone, simultaneously, when his limit order had been filled.
Initially, the trade progressed well. The price action bounced nicely out of the zone and began a decent. However, just as the price action left the zone, it stalled and began to retrace. At first, Jim realized that the price action was just breathing, but it didn’t stop. The price action gained momentum as it passed his entry. He then became concerned. As the price action rose more, his concern turned to anxiety and then fear that he would be stopped out. As he looked on, he began to have negative thoughts; for example, he said to himself, “Whoa, this market is going to take me out.” “What if it takes me out and then goes in my direction?” “I don’t want to lose again.”
“I’ve lost too much money and every time I lose, I feel stupid!” This type of thinking reminded him of times when he was a child and how he had been called stupid by his classmates when he made mistakes. This caused him to feel much worse. The more Jim talked to himself in this fashion, the greater his anxiety and fear loomed and the more uncomfortable he felt. In fact, he began to feel so much negative emotional intensity that he thought about moving his stop. Then, just before the price action was about to trigger his stop, Jim violated his rule and moved it. Before it was all over, he had moved it another three times and this behavior caused him to lose a lot more money. He had fallen into a bad trading pattern. This negative pattern was connected to old programming that grew out of painful experiences in his past.
When you trade and you are continually getting a pattern of the same unwanted, negative results, then you are likely reacting to “programming.” Programming is analogous to the programming of a computer in that you can be said to download behavior patterns from parents and other authority figures as you grew up. Programming is also termed learning. When you have a novel experience, either painful or positive, your brain encodes everything that you see, hear, feel, taste and smell. This encoding happens as your brain releases hormones and neurotransmitters that actually create a memory stamp of the situations. The positive experiences (memories) are often quite helpful as they are then connected to emotional states like determination, confidence, inspiration, and passion, which hone the trader’s focus on what matters most. However, negative and painful experiences work on the system in the opposite fashion; they are connected to emotional states like depression, anger, fear, guilt, doubt and greed, which are uncomfortable, thereby draining and distracting the trader’s focus. When old negative programming has been activated, as in Jim’s case where his thoughts and feeling states went back to experiences when he was chastised by his schoolmates and felt stupid and rejected, what happens quite often is behavior then goes in the opposite of what is in the trader’s best interest. You begin to do things to reduce the intensity of the uncomfortable feelings; like moving a stop, which for a moment helps you to feel a little better because you can hold hope in the price action going in your favor. Frequently, the end result is not only the loss that was brought on by moving the stop (perhaps several times), there is also the fact that you have reinforced “bad” behavior and it makes it much easier to break your rules, preventing yourself from following through to experience better trades in your future attempts.
Negative programming (learned limitations) must be identified through documenting your thoughts, emotions and behaviors that were at play during the trade. For instance, Jim had a number of thoughts that led to his anxiety, anger and fear. If he had been monitoring his thoughts, he could have changed them to reflect the kind of thinking and the kind of emotions that would have been more in line with the behavioral follow-through (results) that he wanted. If you want to excel at your trading, you must measure your processes; i.e., both your mechanical processes (preparation, analysis, planning, implementation and execution) and your internal processes (thoughts, limiting beliefs, emotions, and behaviors). Documenting is imperative to your growth as a trader. You will not continue to get better as a trader if you don’t track and measure what you are doing and how you are doing it. What is also important for you to remember is that as a human being, you have both positive and negative programming. Your programming “will” drive what you do in the trade and what you do “will” create better trades, or not.
As far as the trade is concerned, your “A” Game (your highest and best trader) is “all” that matters. You must have your best thinking, your most positive emotions and your most focused follow-through in order to get the consistent results that you want.
Anything less is not acceptable because anything less will place you and your capital at risk. Furthermore, anything less will only apply a percentage of all that you have to bring to the game. You want to access and activate “all” of your internal resources as you do battle in the trader trenches. To get better trades you need to master your mental game to reflect the trade warrior within.
This report is prepared solely for information and data purposes. Opinions, estimates and projections contained herein are those of FXTechstrategy.com own as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to their accuracy or completeness and neither the information nor the forecast shall be taken as a representation for which FXTechstrategy.com incurs any responsibility. FXTstrategy.com does not accept any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. This report is not construed as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any of the currencies referred to in this report.
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD trades weak below 1.0800 amid Good Friday lull, ahead of US PCE
EUR/USD remains depressed below 1.0800 after soft French inflation data, amid minimal volatility and thin liquidity on Good Friday. The pair keenly awaits the US PCE inflation data and Fed Chair Powell's speech for fresh hints on next week's price action.
GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2600 as markets stay calm on Good Friday
GBP/USD trades sideways above 1.2600 amid a typical Good Friday trading lull. A broadly firmer US Dollar could keep any upside attempts limited in the pair ahead of the US PCE inflation data and Fed Chair Powell's appearance.
Gold price sits at all-time highs above $2,230, US PCE eyed
Gold price hit all-time highs at $2,236 on Thursday to finish Q1 2024 with a bang. Most major world markets, including the US are closed due to Holy Friday, leaving volatility around Gold price highly subdued. US PCE inflation and Powell are awaited.
Jito price could hit $6 as JTO coils up inside this bullish pattern
Jito (JTO) price has been on an uptrend since forming a local bottom in early January. Since then, JTO has revisited the key swing point formed in early December, suggesting the bulls’ intention to move higher.
Key events in developed markets next week
Next week, the main focus will be inflation and the labour market in the Eurozone. We expect services inflation to be impacted by the easter effect, while the unemployment rate to be unchanged.
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