Clifford Bennett
Independent Analyst
It’s all about the clues in the price action and less about how severe the actual health impact will be at the moment. The bargain hinters are exhausted. That buying is spent. The real money is bewildered, unsure, holding in hope or selling a little. We have not seen the big selling yet. This is something to take into account, if you think we have already seen a big fall. It is all about the leveraged invested broad market long positioning globally, being hit by national border controls being re-instituted. As well as fresh national restrictions in parts of Europe. There will be increased supply chain disruption. All the time inflation will become extreme. Bond buying wound back and increasingly rate hikes globally. None of this is good for a trade dependent nation like Australia by the way. This as previous stimulus measures wear off. In some cases as the vaccination drives begin to wane in efficacy. All of this points strongly to rising health pressures, though manageable, increasing supply chain stoppages , overlaying an already highly vulnerable consumer environment. This is a bear market.
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