Fundamental Analysis

AUD

"The RBA is getting more concerned about the outlook for consumption and, just as it didn't get too depressed by the rise in the unemployment rate to 5.9 percent earlier this year, it won't get too excited by the fall to 5.5%."

— Paul Dales, Capital Economics

The Reserve Bank of Australia remained concerned over employment and the housing market, official data released on Tuesday showed. The Central bank said that real estate prices were surging in Sydney and Melbourne but noted that price pressures started to ease to some extent, minutes of the Bank's last meeting when policymakers kept interest rates unchanged at 1.50% revealed. Apart from that, the RBA said that employment growth improved significantly over the past several months, while the number of hours worked dropped. The Bank held its meeting before employment data for May was released and showed that the jobless rate fell to a four-year low of 5.5% and the economy gained new jobs for the third consecutive month. Policymakers expressed concerns over housing debt, as it offset household earnings. The RBA stated that weak pay growth would unlikely rebound in the near future and, therefore, consumer spending is expected to remain weak. Despite the weak Q1 performance, policymakers said that economic growth would likely pick-up in the upcoming quarters.

 

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