Gold prices have now surged above the local 1196.41

The headline moves yesterday were seen in equity markets which plummeted (S&P down 3%) under pressure from an uptick in US yields and USD. Consequently, we saw a flight to safety which drove the bid in gold but weighed on risk currencies.

A light data calendar should see a fairly muted European morning though US CPI data due later today has the potential to further weigh on risk appetite if we see a strong number. Similarly, any US data weakness today should see some lightening up of yesterday's bearish tone.

 

EURUSD intraday analysis

EURUSD

After briefly piercing above the 1.1545 area resistance, EURUSD has since slipped back below the level. For now, price action continues to move within a short term bullish channel which until broken, keeps focus on a further recovery higher. If we do see a downside break, the 1.1515 level might provide some intraday support with prior highs and lows at the level. To the topside, the 1.585 – 1.1593 is the key resistance level (last week's high) which will need to be broken to see a further topside run.

 

GBPUSD intraday analysis

GBPUSD

The run above the late September high of 1.3216 eventually failed and price has since moved back below the level. While below here, focus is on a run down to deeper support at the 1.3113 region where we have a raft of prior highs and low. Alternatively, if we see a move back above 1.3216, the September high of 1.3297 will come into focus.

 

XAUUSD intraday analysis

XAUUSD

Gold prices have now surged above the local 1196.41 region that saw key support last week. For now, price remains in the middle range of the larger contracting triangle pattern which has framed price action over the last few weeks. If the topside triangle trend line is broken, focus will turn to a test of structural resistance around the 1206.61 – 1208.42 region. To the downside, initial support is sitting at the 1191.48 region, while below there the rising triangle trend line provides support.

This market forecast is for general information only. It is not an investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities.

Authors' opinions do not represent the ones of Orbex and its associates. Terms and Conditions and the Privacy Policy apply.

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss of some or all of your investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.