EUR/USD Current price: 1.3169
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So you think is worth trading the EUR/USD? Think twice: the world has reduced to a 30 pips range for the past 48 hours, with a short lived spike of 20 pips to the 1.3137 low yesterday in the middle. Market needs a trigger, and won’t find it today, with the ECB on Thursday and US NFP on Friday. Both events may provide some action, with the ECB having the less chances of triggering strong movements in the pair, as there’s little the Central Bank can do at this point. In the meantime, the pair continues trading below 1.3185, 38.2% retracement of its latest bullish run, and with intraday charts presenting a neutral stance. The 1.3100 level stands as the 50% retracement of the same rally, and stops below it will likely continue building over the next 24 hours, with 1.3250 as last probable, but not likely, bullish target for today.
Support levels: 1.3140 1.3100 1.3060
Resistance levels: 1.3180 1.3210 1.3250
GBP/USD Current price: 1.5608
View Live Chart for the GBP/USD
The GBP/USD maintains the bullish tone based on stronger UK data, breaking above the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily fall at 1.5605. Struggling around the level, the hourly chart shows indicators turning lower, correcting overbought readings in the short term. The 4 hours chart shows indicators also losing upward potential in positive territory, although far from turning bearish: price needs to accelerate below 1.5900 to lose the upward potential, at least in the short term.
Support levels: 1.5590 1.5550 1.5520
Resistance levels: 1.5630 1.5660 1.5700
USD/JPY Current price: 99.47
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Unchanged since last updates, the pair lost some ground after the release of worse than expected US Trade Balance, with the hourly chart showing an increasing bearish potential, as indicators turn south below their midlines. However, buyers continue to appear on approaches to the 99.20/30 area, and there’s little room for falls beyond it ahead of key data later this week.
Support levels: 99.20 98.90 98.50
Resistance levels: 99.70 100.00 100.30
AUD/USD Current price: 0.9154
View Live Chart for the AUD/USD
Commodity currencies outperform this Wednesday, with the AUD/USD surging up to 0.9169 and holding nearby. The hourly chart shows indicators in extreme overbought levels, losing the upward potential yet still not suggesting a downward correction, while the 4 hours chart shows the same picture. As long as above 0.9140, the upside is favored in the short term, with scope to test the 0.9200 level later today.
Support levels: 0.9140 0.9070 0.9025
Resistance levels: 0.9170 0.9200 0.9250
Latest Forex Analysis
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD retreats below 1.1300 area as NFP-inspired dollar weakness fades
EUR/USD jumped to a daily high of 1.1333 with the initial market reaction to the disappointing November Nonfarm Payrolls data but quickly returned below 1.1300. Rising US Treasury bond yields seem to be helping the dollar stay resilient against its major rivals.
GBP/USDdrops to 1.3250 area as dollar regains strength
GBP/USD spiked above 1.3300 in the early American session with the initial market reaction to the gloomy US November jobs report. However, the greenback regathered strength on hawkish Fed commentary and forced the pair to turn south.
Gold struggles to capitalize on weak NFP data, holds near $1,770
Gold spiked to a daily high near $1,780 with the initial market reaction to the disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls data from the US but seems to be having a difficult time preserving its bullish momentum with the 10-year US T-bond yield staying resilient.
The bull and the bear case for BTC
Bitcoin price saw a bullish impulse that faced massive headwinds before it tagged a crucial psychological barrier. Bitcoin is likely to experience massive volatility as the situation resolves over time.
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