Wed, May 7 2008, 06:57 GMT
by David Karsbøl
UK Consumer Confidence also quite weak. Hawkish comments from Fed's Thomas Hoenig has supported USD.
SZ CPI MoM/YoY (Apr), out at 0.8%/2.3% vs. 0.9%/2.4% exp 0.3%/2.6% prior.
E-Z PMI Services (Apr F), out at 52.0 vs. 51.8 exp. 51.8 prior.
UK PMI Services (Apr), out at 50.4 vs. 51.7 exp. 52.1 prior.
E-Z Euro-Zone PPI MoM/YoY (Mar), out at 0.7%/5.7% vs. 0.7%/5.6% exp. 0.6%/5.3% prior.
CA Building Permits MoM (Mar), out at -4.5% vs. 1.2% exp. -1.0% prior.
CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (Apr), out at 57.6 vs. 54.0 exp. 59.0 prior.
US ABC Consumer Confidence (May 4), out at -46 vs. -41 exp. -41 prior.
FX: USD still ranging. AUD edging higher ahead of tonight’s labor market data.
Fixed income: JGB’s still under pressure. Treasuries and Bunds slightly lower.
Stocks: Negative European session, US And Asia somewhat positive, energy sector the leading mover
Commodities: Crude Oil forcefully breaking $120, and recorded a new high of $122.73 now resting just shy of $122 at $121.75.
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Today's Highlights:
| Time (GMT) | Region | Release | Consensus |
| 08:30 | UK | Industrial Production MoM/YoY (Mar) | -0.125 |
| 08:30 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM/YoY (Mar) | 0.0%/1.2% |
| 09:00 | E-Z | Retail Sales MoM/YoY (Mar) | 0.2%/-0.7% |
| 09:30 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index (Apr) | |
| 10:00 | GE | Factory Orders MoM/YoY (Mar) | 0.3%/6.0% |
| 12:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity (1Q P) | 1.50% |
| 12:30 | US | Unit Labor Costs (1Q P) | 2.60% |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM (Mar) | -1.00% |
| 14:30 | US | DOE/API Energy Storage. Crude Oil | 1625K |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit (Mar) | $6.0B |
| 22:45 | NZ | Unemployment Rate (1Q) | 3.50% |
| 22:45 | NZ | Employment Change YoY (1Q) | 1.30% |
| 01:30 | AU | Employment Change (Apr) | 10K |
| 01:30 | AU | Unemployment Rate (Apr) | 4.10% |
| 01:30 | AU | Participation Rate (Apr) | 65.20% |
This and Next Week’s Highlights:
| Date | Region | Release |
| May-08 | SZ | Unemployment Rate |
| May-08 | GE | Trade Balance, Current Account |
| May-08 | SE | Industrial Production, Industrial Orders |
| May-08 | NO | Industrial Production |
| May-08 | GE | Industrial Production |
| May-08 | UK | BOE announces Rates |
| May-08 | E-Z | ECB announces Rates |
| May-08 | CA | Housing Starts |
| May-08 | US | Initial Jobless Claims, Continuing Claims, Wholesale Inventories, EIA Nat gas storage change |
| Mar-09 | GE | Wholesale Price Index |
| May-09 | NO | Producer Prices, CPI, |
| May-09 | CA | Unemployment Rate, Net Change in Employment, Int’l Mercandise Trade |
| May-09 | US | Trade Balance |
Rice prices have surged for a forth day as already tight supply levels are further exasperated by the prospect of Myanmar turning into a net importer from a net exporter after the cyclone disaster.
ABC Consumer Confidence has hit lowest level since February 1992, coming out at -46 for the month of May. On the break down of index factors, the state of economy has fared the worst of all.
The USD has risen against euro following the comments by Fed Kansas City President Thomas Hoenig that serious inflation pressures may cause the bank to hike rates.
The double effect from weakening housing market and higher living costs on UK economy is becoming clearer, now with the consumer confidence falling to a lowest in 4 years, or a to an index value of 70, from the prior reading of 77 points.
Break-Out Trade in USDJPY
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FX Trading Strategies
| Pair | Supp. | Resis. | Comments |
| USDJPY | 103.5 | 105.4 | USDJPY forming an uptrend channel on a daily chart, but risk remains to the downside - confirmation needed. Hence, we play both sides intra-day, buying 104.95 bid, stop offer at 104.80, targeting 105.60. We sell 104.64 offer, targeting 104.00. |
Published on Wed, May 7 2008, 07:29 GMT
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