Quote:

‘Roughly speaking, the banking world makes the same mistakes every 15 or 20 years. It always has and I suspect it always will. It looks different each time, but it’s the same.’ Henry Hoare (1932-)


The News:

Escalating violence in Pakistan and now Iran.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

00:01 GB October Rightmove House Prices +2.8% M/M, +0.2% Y/Y, versus +0.6% and –1.5% September.

00:50 JP August Tertiary Industry Index +0.3% versus +0.6% July.

00:50 JP Bank of Japan MPC Minutes of September 16/17th MPC meeting; says banks now more willing to lend.

06:30 JP Tokyo Department Store Sales –10.5% Y/Y, Nationwide –7.8%, versus –10.3% and –8.8% August.

13:30 CA August International Securities Transactions (versus C$0.351B July).

18:00 US October NAHB Housing Market Index (18 to 21 versus 19 September).


The Psychology:

Diwali holiday in India today.


The Risk:

Equity indices might wobble as many overstretched.


Today’s most interesting chart: Nymex Gasoline

Nearly $2.00 per gallon again.

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