Quote:

‘We are becoming the men we wanted to marry.’ Gloria Steinem (1930-)


The News:

Chinese banking regulator warns large banks not to let capital adequacy ratios to deteriorate.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

07:35 JP Bank of Japan governor Shirakawa speaks, Tokyo.

08:15 CH August Retail Sales (versus +1.0% Y/Y July).

10:00 EZ16 August Trade Balance (+€3B to +€7.8B S/A versus +€6.8B July).

12:00 CA September CPI (-0.2% to +0.2% M/M, -1.0% to –0.6% Y/Y, versus 0% and –0.8% August).

12:00 CA September Core CPI (-0.1% to +0.4% M/M, +1.4% to +1.7% Y/Y, versus +0.1% and +1.6% August).

14:00 US August Long Term TIC Flows (-$15B to +$45B versus +$15.3B July).

14:15 US September Industrial Production (-0.5% to +0.5%, Capacity Utilisation 69.2% to 70.0%, versus +0.8% and 69.6% August).

15:00 US October University of Michigan Confidence Survey (70 to 77.1 versus 73.5 September).

15:10 US Fed’s Fisher speaks on globalisation’s role in the financial crisis and recover, Dallas.

16:30 DE ECB’s Weber speaks on the financial crisis, University of Konstanz.


The Psychology:

General election in Botswana today and Diwali holiday in India Monday.


The Risk:

Stock market euphoria wanes.


Today’s most interesting chart: GBP/JPY

Re-thinking both of these currencies.

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