Quote:

‘I find it gives me wings. The thing about two pints at lunch is that you don’t feel drunk, you just feel ever so slightly superb.’ Boris Johnson (1964-)


The News:

New Zealand August Retail Sales +1.1% versus –0.5% July.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

00:01 GB September RICS House Price Balance 22% versus revised 10% August.

00:01 GB September BRC Retail Sales Monitor +2.9% Y/Y like for like, total +4.9%, helped by public holiday.

00:50 JP September M2 Money Supply +3.0% Y/Y, Bank Lending +1.7%, versus +2.8% and +1.9% August.

08:15 CH September PPI (-0.2% to +0.2% M/M, -5.2% to –4.8% Y/Y, versus +0.1% and –5.5% August).

09:30 GB September CPI (-0.1% to +0.6% M/M, +1.6% to +1.9% Y/Y, versus +0.4% and +1.8% August).

09:30 GB September DCLG House Prices (-7.4% to –3.8% Y/Y versus –8.3% August).

10:00 DE October ZEW Survey (Sentiment 50 to 69, Situation –70 to -64, versus 57.7 and –74 September).

13:30 CA August New Housing Price Index (0% to +0.5% M/M versus +0.3% July).

14:00 GB Bank of England’s Bean speaks at the Society of Chartered Accountant annual lunch, London.

15:00 US October IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (52 to 53.5 versus 52.5 September).

18:15 US Fed’s Dudley speaks at the Institute of International Bankers, New York; Kohn at 18:45, St. Louis.

00:50 JP September Domestic CGPI (Mizuho Securities +0.2% M/M, -7.8% Y/Y, versus 0% and –8.5% August).


The Psychology:

Bank of Japan starts a two-day MPC meeting.


The Risk:

Currencies jostle for pole position.


Today’s most interesting chart: Canadian dollar

Strongest since early October.

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