Quote:

‘I have offered to pay parts of his (Quentin Letts) defence in case that slime bag (Sur’Alan telly peer) Sugar sues him personally.’ Taki Theodoracopulos (1937-)


The News:

Earthquakes in Eastern Japan and East of the Andaman Islands.


The Numbers:

 British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

00:01 GB July RICS House Price Balance –8.1% versus revised –17.6% June.

00:01 GB July BRC Retail Sales Monitor like-for-like +1.8% Y/Y, total +3.6%, versus +1.4% June.

00:50 JP Bank of Japan keeps key rate at 0.10%.

06:00 JP July Consumer Confidence 39.7, Households 39.4, versus 38.1 and 37.6 June.

07:00 DE July Wholesale Price Index –0.5% M/M, -10.6% Y/Y, versus +0.9% and –8.8% June.

09:30 GB June Trade Balance (-£6.9B to -£6.0B, Non-EU -£3.6B to -£3.1B, versus -£6.2B and -£3.2B May).

09:30 GB June DCLG House Prices (-12.0% to –11.4% Y/Y versus –12.5% May).

10:30 GB auction result of £3.5B 2019 Gilt.

13:15 CA July Housing Starts (130K to 155K versus 140K June).

13:30 US Q2 Unit Labour Costs (-6.0% to –1.0%, Non-Farm Productivity +2.9% to +6.5%, vs +3.0% and +1.6% Q1).

15:00 US June Wholesale Inventories (-1.3% to –0.4% versus –0.8% May).

00:50 JP July Domestic CGPI (Mizuho Research Institute –0.2% M/M, -8.9% Y/Y, versus –0.3% and –6.6% June).


The Psychology:

 The US FOMC starts a two-day rate-setting meeting (expected unchanged at 0.25%).


The Risk:

Interest rate markets looking for direction.


Today’s most interesting chart: Benchmark 30-year TBond yield

 Lower as curve flattens.

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