Quote:

‘It is the folly of too many to mistake the echo of a London coffee-house for the voice of the kingdom.’ Jonathan Swift (1667-1745)


The News:

US CIT Group Inc faces bankruptcy as government bailout talks end.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

00:50 JP May Tertiary Industry Index –0.1% versus +2.2% April.

02:30 AU Reserve Bank of Australia Bulletin.

08:30 SE Swedish Riksbank publishes Minutes of July 1st MPC meeting; Governor Ingves press release on situation.

10:00 CH July ZEW Survey (versus 9.7 June).

13:30 US Weekly Jobless Claims (480K to 605K, Continuing Claims 6750K to 6900K, vs 565K and 6883K prior week).

14:00 US May Net Long-term TIC flows (-$20B to +$35B versus +$11B April).

14:30 US Assistant Treasury Secretary Allison testifies on home foreclosures, Senate Banking Committee.

15:00 US July Philadelphia Fed Survey (-10.8 to +5 versus –2.2 June).

18:00 US July NAHB Housing Market Index (14 to 18 versus 15 June).


The Psychology:

US Treasury’ Geithner meets French Finance Minister Lagarde.


The Risk:

Equity indices probe this year’s highs.


Today’s most interesting chart: US Dollar Index future

Dropping below ‘triangle’ consolidation.

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