Quote:

‘A toast to that invincible bunch

The dinosaurs surviving the crunch

Let’s hear for the ladies who lunch.’ Stephen Sondheim (1930-)


The News:

Japan’s LDP suffers crushing defeat in Tokyo assembly elections and PM Aso plans to dissolve lower house and call e general election August 30th.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

06:00 JP June Consumer Confidence 38.1, Households 37.6, versus 36.3 and 35.7 May.

08:15 CH June PPI (-0.2% to +0.4% M/M, -5.7% to –5.1% Y/Y, versus –0.3% and –5.0% May).

11:30 EZ16 ECB’s Trichet speaks at a seminar organised by IFO, Munich.

14:30 CA Q2 Bank of Canada senior loan officer survey and business outlook future sales.

19:00 US June Monthly Budget Statement (-$110B to +$53B versus +$33.5B May).

19:00 US House Financial Services Committee hearing on investigations into insider trading by government officials.

00:01 GB June RICS House Price Balance (-42% to –36% versus –44.1% May).

00:01 GB June BRC Retail Sales Monitor.


The Psychology:

Nabucco gas pipeline agreement due to be signed today.


The Risk:

Yen crosses gather downside momentum.


Today’s most interesting chart: Benchmark US two-year TNote yield

Re-thinking rates.

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