Quote:

‘Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of the Lord:

He is trampling out the vintage where the grapes of wrath are stored;

He hath loosed the fateful lightning of his terrible swift sword:

His truth is marching on.’Julia Ward Howe (1844-1889)


The News:

US Treasury’s Geithner says credit markets thawing but ‘it’s not going to feel better for a long time formillions of Americans’.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

02:30 AU Reserve Bank of Australia Minutes of MPC meeting; rates to stay low for some time as recovery not imminent.

09:30 GB April CPI (+0.1% to +0.6% M/M, +2.1% to +2.7% Y/Y, Core +1.2% to +1.8% Y/Y, versus +0.2%, +2.9% and +1.7% March).

10:00 DE May ZEW Survey (Sentiment 15 to 28, Situation –93 to -80, versus 13 and –91.6 April).

10:00 EZ16 May ZEW Survey (10 to 24 versus 11.8 April).

13:30 US April Housing Starts (465K to 564K, Building Permits 480K to 556K, versus 510K and 516K March).

18:15 US Fed’s Stern speaks and answers questions, Minnesota.

00:50 JP Q1 GDP (Mizuho Research Institute –4.9% Q/Q, -18.1% Y/Y, Deflator +1.9%, versus –3.2%, –12.1% and +0.7% Q4).


The Psychology:

Presidential and parliamentary elections in Malawi today.


The Risk:

Money market futures become overbought at record highs.


Today’s most interesting chart: Eurodollar future June 2008 contract

New record high.

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