Quote:

‘To sit in solemn silence in a dull, dark dock,

In a pestilential prison, with a life long lock,

Awaiting the sensation of a short, sharp shock,

From a cheap and chippy chopper on a big black block!’ Sir W. S. Gilbert (1836-1911)


The News:

US Fed says banks will need to hold substantially more capital than usually required while Larry Summers says the vast majority of US banks are well capitalised.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

From today DE April CPI for the different German states.

00:01 GB April Hometrack Housing Survey –0.3% M/M, -10.1% Y/Y, versus –0.6% and –10.3% March.

07:00 DE March Import price Index –0.4% M/M, -7.1% Y/Y, versus –0.1% and –6.4% February.

07:10 DE May GfK Consumer Confidence 2.5 versus revised 2.5 April.

09:30 GB March BBA Mortgages (versus £2.817B February).

09:30 GB Bank of England reports on Asset Purchase Facility.

11:45 EZ16 ECB’s Trichet speaks on trends in global finance, New York.

00:50 JP March Large Retailers’ Sales (Mizuho Research Institute –7.4% Y/Y versus –8.1% February).

00:50 JP March Retail Trade (Mizuho Securities –3.6% M/M, -6.4% Y/Y, versus –0.2% and –5.7% February).


The Psychology:

Suspected cases of swine ‘flu in France, Spain and the US as 1,600 suffer in Mexico.


The Risk:

The more the authorities talk up the economy the less they will be believed.


Today’s most interesting chart: ICE Sugar

Highest price since Oct 2008.