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Start the Day
Second earthquake in two days hits the island of Sumatra, Indonesia
Thu, Oct 1 2009, 06:37 GMT
by Nicole Elliott
Mizuho Corporate Bank | View company's profile
Quote:
‘I spent 90% of my money on women and drink. The rest I wasted.’ George Best (1946-2005)
The News:
Second earthquake in two days hits the island of Sumatra, Indonesia.
The Numbers:
British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.
00:50 JP Q3 Tankan Survey Large Manufacturers –33, Outlook –21, Non-Manufacturing –26, Outlook –17, All-Industry Capex –10.8% versus –48/-30/-29/-21/-9.4% Q2. Dollar/Yen average 94.50 to March 2010.
00:50 JP August Retail Trade +1.0% M/M, -1.8% Y/Y, versus +0.5% and –2.4% July.
00:50 JP August Large Retailers’ Sales –6.8% Y/Y vs –8.4% July. 06:00 JP Sep Vehicle Sales +3.5% Y/Y vs +2.3%.
07:00 DE August Retail Sales –1.5% M/M, -2.6% Y/Y, vs +0.7% and –1.0%.
08:30 CH September PMI (50 to 52 versus 50.2).
09:30 GB September Manufacturing PMI (49.4 to 52.0 versus 49.7 August). BoE Quarterly Credit Conditions Survey.
10:00 EZ16 August Unemployment (9.6% to 9.7% versus 9.5% July). 10:00 CH SNB Quarterly Bulletin.
12:30 US September Challenger Job Cuts (versus –13.8% August). 14:00 US Fed’s Bernanke testifies, Washington.
13:30 US August Personal Income (-0.1% to +0.5%, Spending+0.9% to +1.6%, versus 0% and +0.2% July).
13:30 US Weekly Jobless Claims (519K to 555K, Continuing Claims 6100K to 6330K, vs 530K and 6138K prior week).
13:30 US August Core PCE (0% to +0.2% M/M, +1.2% to +1.4% Y/Y, Deflator –0.9% to –0.5% vs +0.1/+1.4/-0.8%).
15:00 US September Manufacturing ISM (52 to 56, Prices Paid 58 to 73, versus 52.9 and 65 August).
15:00 US August Construction Spending (-0.6% to +0.6% versus –0.2% July).
15:00 US August Pending Home Sales (-2.5% to +3.0% versus +3.2% July). 22:30 US Fed’s Lockhart/Pianalto speak.
The Psychology:
Informal meeting of EU finance ministers continues through to Friday, Gothenburg.
The Risk:
China on holiday for a week celebrating the Peoples Republic’s 60th anniversary.
Today’s most interesting chart: EUR/CHF
Once again threat of/intervention sends it higher suddenly.
Published on Thu, Oct 1 2009, 07:13 GMT
Mizuho Corporate Bank
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk
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The information contained in this page is based on or derived from information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty is made or implied that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions expressed in this paper are subject to change without notice. This page has been prepared solely for information purposes and if so decided, for private circulation and does not constitute any solicitation to buy or sell any instrument, or to engage in any trading strategy.Related reports
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