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The Fed's Stern and Plosser join Bernanke in predicting recovery in H2 2009

Thu, Jan 15 2009, 07:22 GMT
by Nicole Elliott

Mizuho Corporate Bank


Quote:

‘We are becoming more and more like America, where you can tell how low someone’s income is by the size of the clothes they wear.’ Amanda Craig (1959-)


The News:

The Fed’s Stern and Plosser join Bernanke in predicting recovery in H2 2009.


The Numbers:

Greenwich Mean Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

(23:50) JP December Domestic CGPI –1.2% M/M, +1.1% Y/Y, versus –1.9% and +2.8% November.

(23:50) JP November Machine Orders –16.2% M/M, -27.7% Y/Y, versus –4.4% and –15.5% October.

07:00 DE final December CPI +0.3% M/M, +1.1% Y/Y, versus –0.5% and +1.4% November.

07:00 EU25 December New Car Registrations –18.2% versus –25.8% November.

10:00 EZ15 December CPI (-0.1% to +0.1% M/M, +1.6% to +1.8% Y/Y, versus –0.5% and +2.1% November).

12:45 EZ16 ECB interest rate decision (almost unanimously expected –50 bp to 2.00%); 13:30 News Conference.

13:30 US Weekly Jobless Claims (442K to 700K, Continuing Claims 4575K to 4685K, vs 467K and 4611K prior week).

13:30 US December PPI (-2.9% to –0.8% M/M, –1.7% to –0.8% Y/Y, versus –2.2% and +0.4% November).

13:30 US December PPI Ex-Food & Energy (-0.2% to +0.2% M/M, +3.9% to +4.2% Y/Y, vs +0.1% and +4.2% Nov).

13:30 US January Empire State Manufacturing Survey (-28 to –20 versus –25.76 December).

13:30 CA November New Vehicle Sales (-11.8% to –7.0% M/M versus –0.9% October).

15:00 US January Philadelphia Fed Survey (-38 to –28 versus –36.1 December).

15:00 US Fed’s Board confirmation hearing of Obama nominee Daniel Tarullo.

18:40 US Fed’s Lockhart speaks on the economy, Mississippi, 18:55 Evans, Wisconsin and 20:45 Yellen, San Francisco.


The Psychology:

Spanish Treasury to auction 4.80% 2024 and 4.90% 2040 Bonos; UK £1B 1.25% 2032 IL.


The Risk:

Stock markets dive towards October/November’s lows. 


Today’s most interesting chart: Dow Jones Industrial Average

Banks dragging it lower.


Mizuho Corporate Bank  | 1-3-3, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8210
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk

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The information contained in this page is based on or derived from information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty is made or implied that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions expressed in this paper are subject to change without notice. This page has been prepared solely for information purposes and if so decided, for private circulation and does not constitute any solicitation to buy or sell any instrument, or to engage in any trading strategy.

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