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Central banks can cut rates but market ones are all over the place

Thu, Oct 9 2008, 07:59 GMT
by Nicole Elliott

Mizuho Corporate Bank


Quote:

‘The most important lesson from the lost decade is never let amateurs who just attend faculties of law manage economic policies.’ Nobuo Ikeda (?-)


The News:

Hong Kong cuts rates another 50 basis points, South Korea trims 25 basis points to 5.00%, Taiwan also trims 25 to 3.25%.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

00:50 JP August Machine Orders –14.5% M/M, -13.0% Y/Y, versus –3.9% and –4.7% July.

07:00 JP September Machine Tool Orders –20.7% Y/Y versus –13.9% August.

07:00 DE Wholesale Price Index (-0.6% M/M, +5.8% Y/Y, versus –1.8% and +7.4% August).

07:00 DE August Trade Balance (+€10.6B, Current Account +€7.3B, versus revised +€13.8B and +€11.9B July).

09:00 EZ15 October ECB Monthly Report.

09:30 GB August Trade Balance (-£7.8B to -£7.1B, Non-EU -£4.7B to -£4.4B, versus -£7.6B and -£4.7B July).

10:00 CH Swiss National Bank Q4 Bulletin.

12:00 GB Bank of England MPC meeting cancelled after yesterday’s co-ordinated 50 basis point rate cut.

13:30 US Weekly Jobless Claims (450K to 500K, Continuing Claims 3500K to 3660K, vs 497K and 3591K prior week).

15:00 US August Wholesale Inventories (-0.2% to +1.0% versus +1.4% July).

18:30 US Fed’s Stern speaks on financial shock, Minneapolis.


The Psychology:

Holidays in India and Israel.


The Risk:

S.


Today’s most interesting chart: Brazil 2014 Government Bond

Central banks can cut rates but market ones are all over the place, including Russian bonds and interest rate futures.


Mizuho Corporate Bank  | 1-3-3, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8210
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk

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