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French president Sarkozy to lead talks this weekend on the financial crisis

Fri, Oct 3 2008, 06:46 GMT
by Nicole Elliott

Mizuho Corporate Bank


Quote:

‘These capitalists generally act harmoniously, and in concert, to fleece the people, and now that they have got into a quarrel with themselves, we are called upon to appropriate the people’s money to settle the quarrel.’ Abraham Lincoln (11th January 1837)


The News:

French president Sarkozy to lead talks this weekend on the financial crisis as Germany and the UK pour cold water on speculation of a €300B bank bail-out fund.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

06:45 CH September CPI +0.1% M/M, +2.9% Y/Y, versus –0.3% and +2.9% August.

09:30 GB September Services PMI (47.5 to 48.8 versus 49.2 August).

09:30 GB Q2 Housing Equity Withdrawl (-£1.6B to +£4.0B versus +£5.0B Q1).

10:00 EZ15 August Retail Sales (-0.6% to +0.4% M/M, -3.3% to –0.4% Y/Y, versus –0.1% and –2.3% July).

13:30 US September Non-Farm Payrolls (-175K to -75K, Unemployment 6.0% to 6.2%, versus -84K and 6.1% August).

13:30 US September Average Earnings (+3.5% to +3.7% Y/Y, Workweek 33.6 to 33.7 hours, vs +3.6% and 33.7 Aug).

15:00 US September Non-Manufacturing ISM (48.5 to 51.5 versus 50.6 August).


The Psychology:

Holidays in China, Indonesia, Pakistan and South Korea. Monday holiday in Australia & Egypt.


The Risk:

One-month at-the-money implied volatility in FX versus USD at or close to record highs. CBOE VIX Indicator also close to highs of 1998-2002.


Today’s most interesting chart: Dow Jones Transportation Average

Down 8.7%, second biggest daily fall.


Mizuho Corporate Bank  | 1-3-3, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8210
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk

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The information contained in this page is based on or derived from information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty is made or implied that it is accurate or complete. Any opinions expressed in this paper are subject to change without notice. This page has been prepared solely for information purposes and if so decided, for private circulation and does not constitute any solicitation to buy or sell any instrument, or to engage in any trading strategy.

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