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Russia and South Korea intervene to stabilise their currencies

Fri, Sep 5 2008, 06:28 GMT
by Nicole Elliott

Mizuho Corporate Bank


Quote:

‘Deprivation is to me what daffodils were to Wordsworth.’ Philip Larkin (1922-1985)


The News:

Russia and South Korea intervene to stabilise their currencies.


The Numbers:

British Summer Time, with expectations and previous figures in brackets.

00:50 JP Q2 Capital Spending, Ex-software, versus –4.9% and –5.3% Q1.

07:50 EZ15 ECB’s Trichet, Stark, Bini Smaghi and Orphanides speak on the ECB and its watchers, Frankfurt.

09:00 AU Austrian Central Bank new governor Ewald Nowotny’s first news conference as he takes over from Liebscher.

11:00 DE July Industrial Production (-1.5% to +0.3% M/M, -0.7% to +1.7% Y/Y, versus +0.2% and +1.7% June).

12:00 CA August Net Change in Employment (-10K to +30K, Unemployment 6.1% to 6.3%, vs –55.2K and 6.1% July).

12:45 EZ15 ECB interest rate decision (unanimously expected unchanged at 4.25%, although Wachovia says 4.00%).

13:30 US August Non-farm Payrolls (-150K to –45K, Unemployment 5.5% to 5.9%, versus -51K and 5.7% July).

13:30 US August Average Hourly Earnings (+3.3% to +3.5% Y/Y, Workweek 33.5 to 33.7 hours, vs +3.4% and 33.6).

15:00 CA August Ivey Purchasing Managers (49 to 66 versus 65.5 July).

16:00 US Treasury result of ten-year TNote auction.

20:55 US Fed’s Yellen speaks on the economy, Los Angeles.


The Psychology:

US voters sidetracked by the presidential race as the global economy set to implode.


The Risk:

Stock indices tumble like dominos.


Today’s most interesting chart: Dow Jones Utilities Index

Closing below the ‘neckline’ of a big, long term, ‘head-and-shoulders’ top as the ‘carry trade’ unwinds. Similar patterns on Yen crosses, EUR/CHF and most major world stock indices. The question is only who gets shoved first and which is slammed the hardest.


Mizuho Corporate Bank  | 1-3-3, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8210
http://www.mizuho-cb.co.uk | Nicole.Elliot@mhcb.co.uk

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